Oh_Wentzy

Contender - Caterpillars - 2-2 (0.500)
9 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 4 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 9/100 Tier dominance: 35th (-0.5 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
25% of games
Shot %
11%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 276.25 1105
19th
Goals 0.25 1
5th
Assists 0.75 3
92nd
Saves 1.25 5
64th
Shots 2.25 9
46th
Demos 0.5 2
18th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points276.25 #838 / 1215 #90 / 134
Goals0.25 #907 / 1215 #106 / 134
Assists0.75 #116 / 1215 #7 / 134
Saves1.25 #513 / 1215 #39 / 134
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #82 / 134

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (4 → ~6 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 1105 1658 1712 1678 – 1746
Goals 1 2 2 1 – 4
Assists 3 4 4 3 – 6
Saves 5 8 7 5 – 9
Shots 9 14 14 11 – 17
Demos 2 3 3 2 – 5
MVPs 1 2 1 1 – 2

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 7 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 268.2
Avg boost 48.0
Boost stolen / game 333.4
% time at 0 boost 13.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1380.9
% supersonic 5.4%
% time high in air 2.4%
Avg distance to ball 3069.6
% time attacking third 16.2%
Demos / game 0.4
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 31.5%

Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.