OsoGhost

Rival - FA - 3-7 (0.300)
46 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 46/100 Tier dominance: 15th (-1.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
10% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 347.0 3470
50th
Goals 0.5 5
16th
Assists 0.2 2
4th
Saves 2.5 25
99th
Shots 1.7 17
8th
Demos 1.4 14
84th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points347.0 #448 / 1215 #68 / 164
Goals0.5 #791 / 1215 #111 / 164
Assists0.2 #909 / 1215 #126 / 164
Saves2.5 #3 / 1215 #1 / 164
Demos1.4 #168 / 1215 #21 / 164

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (10 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 3470 6246 6225 6145 – 6306
Goals 5 9 10 6 – 13
Assists 2 4 5 2 – 7
Saves 25 45 41 35 – 47
Shots 17 31 33 27 – 40
Demos 14 25 24 19 – 29
MVPs 1 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 40 /100

From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 379.1
Avg boost 52.8
Boost stolen / game 368.2
% time at 0 boost 11.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1498.6
% supersonic 11.6%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 3089.9
% time attacking third 19.1%
Demos / game 1.4
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 29.5%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~35 OVR Medium confidence — inferred from 66 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 46.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1110363-489 43% 298
RSC (official)3812-18 40% 299
Non-RSC ranked 3v36628-22 56% 281
Non-RSC other1006323-449 42% 299

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.5 0.56 0.5 – 0.71
Assists/game0.2 0.38 0.25 – 0.45
Saves/game2.5 2.11 2.0 – 2.21
Shots/game1.7 2.0 1.67 – 2.25

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Crucified S26Rival 0.420.252.17 1.50
Swift S20Master 0.750.252.38 1.78
buckle S21Master 0.550.452.3 1.97
FrogDrivesCar S21Challenger 0.50.251.88 2.01
Mick S25Challenger 0.710.362.21 2.01
Beans S20Elite 0.50.32.0 2.07
Diviniation S23Elite 0.560.252.0 2.07
Kaorix S26Premier 0.570.362.14 2.08
Soup S17Elite 0.250.252.62 2.09
RollsRoyceOwner S23Elite 0.50.52.0 2.13

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.