Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 377.28 | 12073 |
|
| Goals | 1.16 | 37 |
|
| Assists | 0.69 | 22 |
|
| Saves | 1.09 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 2.84 | 91 |
|
| Demos | 1.09 | 35 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 377.28 | #233 / 1213 | #34 / 166 |
| Goals | 1.16 | #68 / 1213 | #11 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.69 | #207 / 1213 | #26 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.09 | #670 / 1213 | #96 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.09 | #335 / 1213 | #38 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (202 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12073 | 19996 | 19845 | 19845 | 19705 – 19984 |
| Goals | 37 | 61 | 60 | 59 | 52 – 67 |
| Assists | 22 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 30 – 42 |
| Saves | 35 | 58 | 59 | 57 | 51 – 66 |
| Shots | 91 | 151 | 149 | 148 | 137 – 161 |
| Demos | 35 | 58 | 57 | 60 | 50 – 65 |
| MVPs | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 11 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 381.8 |
| Avg boost | 46.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 495.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1480.4 |
| % supersonic | 9.7% |
| % time high in air | 2.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2956.9 |
| % time attacking third | 22.0% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 40.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 16 | 0.81 | 0.44 | 0.94 | 392 |
| S21 | Challenger | 12 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 335 |
| S22 | Challenger | 28 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 1.0 | 367 |
| S23 | Rival | 50 | 0.82 | 0.52 | 0.78 | 364 |
| S24 | Rival | 44 | 0.55 | 0.41 | 0.75 | 345 |
| S25 | Challenger | 52 | 0.83 | 0.5 | 1.21 | 386 |
| S26 | Challenger | 32 | 1.16 | 0.69 | 1.09 | 382 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 7181 | 2909-2810 | 51% | 321 |
| RSC (official) | 44 | 22-13 | 63% | 284 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 797 | 296-313 | 49% | 294 |
| Non-RSC other | 6340 | 2591-2484 | 51% | 325 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.16 | 1.08 | 0.98 – 1.17 |
| Assists/game | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.62 – 0.73 |
| Saves/game | 1.09 | 1.17 | 1.09 – 1.2 |
| Shots/game | 2.84 | 2.92 | 2.82 – 3.0 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cJax | S26 | Challenger | 1.24 | 0.71 | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| imtobad00 | S23 | Challenger | 0.98 | 0.64 | 1.2 | 1.05 |
| chawes. | S24 | Elite | 0.98 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Larkspur | S24 | Challenger | 0.93 | 0.78 | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| kyllonen_ | S17 | Challenger | 1.38 | 0.62 | 1.12 | 1.09 |
| Godless | S20 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Buck | S24 | Elite | 0.98 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Fish | S20 | Rival | 1.25 | 0.58 | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| Irishhhh | S25 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.65 | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Orphaned Baby Pangolin | S25 | Contender | 1.08 | 0.68 | 1.2 | 1.14 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.