Preaux.

Challenger - Shade - 9-15 (0.375)
32 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 32/100 Tier dominance: 15th (-0.9 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
4% of games
Shot %
22%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 271.25 6510
8th
Goals 0.46 11
10th
Assists 0.5 12
41st
Saves 0.96 23
11th
Shots 2.12 51
18th
Demos 2.0 48
96th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points271.25 #853 / 1215 #123 / 166
Goals0.46 #840 / 1215 #120 / 166
Assists0.5 #516 / 1215 #71 / 166
Saves0.96 #810 / 1215 #118 / 166
Demos2.0 #38 / 1215 #5 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (24 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (117 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6510 10850 11130 11130 11024 – 11237
Goals 11 18 20 20 15 – 24
Assists 12 20 20 20 16 – 25
Saves 23 38 40 40 33 – 46
Shots 51 85 86 85 77 – 96
Demos 48 80 76 79 68 – 84
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 16 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 345.8
Avg boost 54.5
Boost stolen / game 461.7
% time at 0 boost 9.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1484.3
% supersonic 12.7%
% time high in air 2.5%
Avg distance to ball 3160.8
% time attacking third 21.5%
Demos / game 2.0
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 21.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Challenger22 0.960.411.23 325
S24Challenger53 0.850.451.34 335
S25Challenger42 0.790.451.26 326
S26Challenger24 0.460.50.96 346

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.46 0.56 0.5 – 0.63
Assists/game0.5 0.47 0.44 – 0.57
Saves/game0.96 1.09 1.0 – 1.14
Shots/game2.12 2.12 1.91 – 2.23

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
OurStevie S23Rival 0.430.571.21 1.27
Irishhhh S18Veteran 0.550.460.82 1.42
Goose S24Veteran 0.770.461.12 1.46
DR. BABIES S20Rival 0.550.411.04 1.46
Arbartenn S19Veteran 0.50.620.88 1.48
Bolbi S19Master 0.380.620.88 1.50
Sabre S21Veteran 0.530.471.0 1.56
jknop2 S17Veteran 0.680.471.32 1.57
Steem S26Veteran 0.330.331.11 1.57
LGUPorkers S17Contender 0.570.361.14 1.59

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.