Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 271.25 | 6510 |
|
| Goals | 0.46 | 11 |
|
| Assists | 0.5 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 0.96 | 23 |
|
| Shots | 2.12 | 51 |
|
| Demos | 2.0 | 48 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 271.25 | #853 / 1215 | #123 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.46 | #840 / 1215 | #120 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.5 | #516 / 1215 | #71 / 166 |
| Saves | 0.96 | #810 / 1215 | #118 / 166 |
| Demos | 2.0 | #38 / 1215 | #5 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (24 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (117 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6510 | 10850 | 11130 | 11130 | 11024 – 11237 |
| Goals | 11 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 15 – 24 |
| Assists | 12 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 – 25 |
| Saves | 23 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 33 – 46 |
| Shots | 51 | 85 | 86 | 85 | 77 – 96 |
| Demos | 48 | 80 | 76 | 79 | 68 – 84 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 345.8 |
| Avg boost | 54.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 461.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1484.3 |
| % supersonic | 12.7% |
| % time high in air | 2.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3160.8 |
| % time attacking third | 21.5% |
| Demos / game | 2.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 21.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Challenger | 22 | 0.96 | 0.41 | 1.23 | 325 |
| S24 | Challenger | 53 | 0.85 | 0.45 | 1.34 | 335 |
| S25 | Challenger | 42 | 0.79 | 0.45 | 1.26 | 326 |
| S26 | Challenger | 24 | 0.46 | 0.5 | 0.96 | 346 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.46 | 0.56 | 0.5 – 0.63 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.47 | 0.44 – 0.57 |
| Saves/game | 0.96 | 1.09 | 1.0 – 1.14 |
| Shots/game | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.91 – 2.23 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OurStevie | S23 | Rival | 0.43 | 0.57 | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Irishhhh | S18 | Veteran | 0.55 | 0.46 | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| Goose | S24 | Veteran | 0.77 | 0.46 | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| DR. BABIES | S20 | Rival | 0.55 | 0.41 | 1.04 | 1.46 |
| Arbartenn | S19 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.48 |
| Bolbi | S19 | Master | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Sabre | S21 | Veteran | 0.53 | 0.47 | 1.0 | 1.56 |
| jknop2 | S17 | Veteran | 0.68 | 0.47 | 1.32 | 1.57 |
| Steem | S26 | Veteran | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| LGUPorkers | S17 | Contender | 0.57 | 0.36 | 1.14 | 1.59 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.