RaunchyRomanian

Premier - Cerberus - 7-16 (0.304)
95 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 95/100 Tier dominance: 8th (-1.2 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
17% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 337.0 7751
44th
Goals 0.7 16
38th
Assists 0.35 8
12th
Saves 1.65 38
77th
Shots 2.17 50
15th
Demos 0.52 12
6th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points337.0 #525 / 1213 #29 / 73
Goals0.7 #550 / 1213 #32 / 73
Assists0.35 #790 / 1213 #46 / 73
Saves1.65 #146 / 1213 #12 / 73
Demos0.52 #794 / 1213 #49 / 73

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (23 → ~36 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (212 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7751 12132 12218 12218 12116 – 12321
Goals 16 25 25 26 21 – 30
Assists 8 13 13 14 10 – 17
Saves 38 59 59 58 52 – 66
Shots 50 78 80 81 72 – 89
Demos 12 19 21 18 17 – 26
MVPs 4 6 6 6 4 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 32 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 365.0
Avg boost 46.6
Boost stolen / game 527.7
% time at 0 boost 10.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1451.2
% supersonic 9.4%
% time high in air 5.2%
Avg distance to ball 2982.0
% time attacking third 19.2%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 31.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Master7 1.00.291.29 362
S21Master30 0.830.51.27 364
S22Master22 0.550.591.32 385
S23Elite56 0.880.751.16 385
S24Elite64 0.890.861.5 373
S25Master40 0.850.651.5 402
S26Premier23 0.70.351.65 365

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.7 0.67 0.6 – 0.74
Assists/game0.35 0.38 0.34 – 0.42
Saves/game1.65 1.58 1.52 – 1.64
Shots/game2.17 2.24 2.1 – 2.36

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Escape_Plan1 S23Veteran 0.70.41.64 0.52
Heca S20Veteran 0.580.331.67 0.82
dyl S17Challenger 0.60.31.6 0.82
Billionninja S25Rival 0.620.421.77 0.84
Cob S13Rival 0.70.41.4 0.89
K. S20Rival 0.790.421.47 0.91
mojomo S23Master 0.680.431.57 0.91
Cob S23Rival 0.570.481.6 0.92
Modoz S17Rival 0.760.381.52 0.97
cJax S23Rival 0.740.351.33 0.98

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.