Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 355.52 | 11021 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 31 |
|
| Assists | 0.65 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 0.94 | 29 |
|
| Shots | 2.52 | 78 |
|
| Demos | 0.87 | 27 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 355.52 | #384 / 1213 | #55 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #139 / 1213 | #20 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.65 | #272 / 1213 | #41 / 164 |
| Saves | 0.94 | #815 / 1213 | #119 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.87 | #522 / 1213 | #79 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (37 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11021 | 19553 | 19494 | 19494 | 19344 – 19644 |
| Goals | 31 | 55 | 54 | 52 | 46 – 62 |
| Assists | 20 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 29 – 41 |
| Saves | 29 | 51 | 53 | 56 | 45 – 61 |
| Shots | 78 | 138 | 138 | 138 | 126 – 151 |
| Demos | 27 | 48 | 49 | 51 | 41 – 56 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 447.7 |
| Avg boost | 49.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 568.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1589.6 |
| % supersonic | 18.4% |
| % time high in air | 5.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3005.0 |
| % time attacking third | 21.1% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 42.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Rival | 37 | 0.6 | 0.51 | 1.57 | 439 |
| S26 | Rival | 31 | 1.0 | 0.64 | 0.94 | 448 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.0 | 0.86 | 0.8 – 0.93 |
| Assists/game | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.61 – 0.71 |
| Saves/game | 0.94 | 1.04 | 0.92 – 1.09 |
| Shots/game | 2.52 | 2.67 | 2.53 – 2.73 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noriko | S23 | Premier | 1.0 | 0.61 | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| LaMelo Ball | S22 | Premier | 0.84 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 1.10 |
| Foxaftershadow | S25 | Challenger | 0.91 | 0.68 | 1.04 | 1.14 |
| ZeXeR-_- | S24 | Rival | 0.93 | 0.67 | 1.2 | 1.20 |
| Phantao | S25 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.61 | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Extended | S24 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.55 | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| Nahzey | S19 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.58 | 1.08 | 1.29 |
| Crybound | S22 | Challenger | 0.79 | 0.58 | 1.04 | 1.29 |
| Extended | S23 | Challenger | 0.76 | 0.67 | 0.98 | 1.29 |
| Redfire0817 | S14 | Rival | 0.82 | 0.73 | 1.0 | 1.31 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.