RealMrGreen

Rival - Ocelots - 18-13 (0.581)
53 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 53/100 Tier dominance: 62nd (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
3% of games
Shot %
40%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 355.52 11021
59th
Goals 1.0 31
77th
Assists 0.65 20
69th
Saves 0.94 29
11th
Shots 2.52 78
48th
Demos 0.87 27
40th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points355.52 #384 / 1213 #55 / 164
Goals1.0 #139 / 1213 #20 / 164
Assists0.65 #272 / 1213 #41 / 164
Saves0.94 #815 / 1213 #119 / 164
Demos0.87 #522 / 1213 #79 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (37 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11021 19553 19494 19494 19344 – 19644
Goals 31 55 54 52 46 – 62
Assists 20 35 35 35 29 – 41
Saves 29 51 53 56 45 – 61
Shots 78 138 138 138 126 – 151
Demos 27 48 49 51 41 – 56
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 88 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 447.7
Avg boost 49.7
Boost stolen / game 568.3
% time at 0 boost 14.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1589.6
% supersonic 18.4%
% time high in air 5.6%
Avg distance to ball 3005.0
% time attacking third 21.1%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 42.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Rival37 0.60.511.57 439
S26Rival31 1.00.640.94 448

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 0.86 0.8 – 0.93
Assists/game0.65 0.67 0.61 – 0.71
Saves/game0.94 1.04 0.92 – 1.09
Shots/game2.52 2.67 2.53 – 2.73

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Noriko S23Premier 1.00.611.04 1.04
LaMelo Ball S22Premier 0.840.560.81 1.10
Foxaftershadow S25Challenger 0.910.681.04 1.14
ZeXeR-_- S24Rival 0.930.671.2 1.20
Phantao S25Elite 1.00.611.21 1.24
Extended S24Rival 0.810.550.87 1.27
Nahzey S19Veteran 0.750.581.08 1.29
Crybound S22Challenger 0.790.581.04 1.29
Extended S23Challenger 0.760.670.98 1.29
Redfire0817 S14Rival 0.820.731.0 1.31

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.