Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 333.59 | 9674 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.69 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 0.93 | 27 |
|
| Shots | 2.52 | 73 |
|
| Demos | 0.34 | 10 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 333.59 | #555 / 1215 | #40 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #358 / 1215 | #37 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.69 | #201 / 1215 | #15 / 134 |
| Saves | 0.93 | #827 / 1215 | #88 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.34 | #900 / 1215 | #101 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (29 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (89 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9674 | 15011 | 14954 | 14954 | 14843 – 15066 |
| Goals | 24 | 37 | 37 | 38 | 31 – 42 |
| Assists | 20 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 25 – 35 |
| Saves | 27 | 42 | 43 | 43 | 37 – 49 |
| Shots | 73 | 113 | 113 | 113 | 103 – 122 |
| Demos | 10 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 21 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 336.5 |
| Avg boost | 51.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 446.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1348.2 |
| % supersonic | 7.1% |
| % time high in air | 3.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3098.8 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 37.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Prospect | 39 | 0.87 | 0.69 | 1.23 | 301 |
| S25 | Contender | 50 | 1.06 | 0.42 | 0.94 | 342 |
| S26 | Contender | 25 | 0.92 | 0.68 | 0.96 | 336 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.81 – 0.93 |
| Assists/game | 0.68 | 0.65 | 0.58 – 0.69 |
| Saves/game | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.87 – 1.08 |
| Shots/game | 2.56 | 2.5 | 2.37 – 2.66 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kush_the_Ninja | S13 | Contender | 0.82 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.04 |
| bestpickle | S26 | Contender | 1.04 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 1.19 |
| Zarthon77 | S23 | Veteran | 1.05 | 0.68 | 1.05 | 1.20 |
| XerNaut | S20 | Prospect | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.23 |
| Merk890 | S24 | Rival | 0.86 | 0.76 | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Fox_gt_400 | S23 | Challenger | 0.84 | 0.65 | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| TimmyIU20 | S23 | Amateur | 0.9 | 0.65 | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| Phteven | S14 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 1.34 |
| SIashFabo420 | S17 | Amateur | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.35 |
| Carno | S23 | Prospect | 0.79 | 0.55 | 0.83 | 1.35 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.