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Prospect - Prism Proteges - 12-15 (0.444)
28 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 28/100 Tier dominance: 83rd (+0.8 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
18% of games
Shot %
35%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 373.89 10095
77th
Goals 1.11 30
90th
Assists 0.56 15
58th
Saves 0.89 24
17th
Shots 3.19 86
94th
Demos 0.3 8
3rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points373.89 #255 / 1215 #30 / 161
Goals1.11 #78 / 1215 #12 / 161
Assists0.56 #434 / 1215 #55 / 161
Saves0.89 #841 / 1215 #110 / 161
Demos0.3 #911 / 1215 #129 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10095 16825 16647 16519 – 16775
Goals 30 50 48 42 – 55
Assists 15 25 25 20 – 30
Saves 24 40 41 35 – 48
Shots 86 143 140 128 – 152
Demos 8 13 16 11 – 20
MVPs 5 8 8 5 – 11

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 65 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 327.2
Avg boost 52.5
Boost stolen / game 510.2
% time at 0 boost 7.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1451.2
% supersonic 8.2%
% time high in air 4.7%
Avg distance to ball 2950.5
% time attacking third 22.2%
Demos / game 0.3
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 39.2%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~36 OVR High confidence — inferred from 215 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 28.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1661553-755 42% 305
RSC (official)30-1 0% 189
Non-RSC ranked 3v321575-78 49% 282
Non-RSC other1443478-676 41% 309

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.09 1.02 0.96 – 1.13
Assists/game0.52 0.5 0.46 – 0.58
Saves/game0.96 0.96 0.86 – 1.07
Shots/game3.04 2.91 2.82 – 3.03

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
SuperShooter777 S14Amateur 1.190.620.88 0.88
AnarcrisT S17Challenger 1.250.51.08 1.00
.S S22Veteran 0.970.61.03 1.05
x ARC Fives x S20Challenger 0.910.461.0 1.06
Kflip11 S22Challenger 1.090.431.06 1.08
ChrisakaMrXD S13Elite 0.920.420.83 1.13
Bieles S25Prospect 1.130.520.85 1.14
Vvreze S20Contender 1.00.551.18 1.14
HybridParagon S23Rival 0.870.460.95 1.15
t4 S24Rival 1.030.390.81 1.16

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.