RiisenJT

Challenger - Stingrays - 14-15 (0.483)
42 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 29 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 42/100 Tier dominance: 85th (+1.1 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
21% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 379.45 11004
77th
Goals 0.93 27
74th
Assists 0.72 21
84th
Saves 1.38 40
64th
Shots 3.38 98
98th
Demos 0.83 24
44th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points379.45 #220 / 1215 #31 / 166
Goals0.93 #222 / 1215 #34 / 166
Assists0.72 #163 / 1215 #21 / 166
Saves1.38 #383 / 1215 #48 / 166
Demos0.83 #576 / 1215 #74 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (29 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (128 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11004 18214 18057 18057 17924 – 18189
Goals 27 45 44 44 37 – 50
Assists 21 35 34 34 28 – 40
Saves 40 66 66 65 58 – 74
Shots 98 162 159 158 146 – 171
Demos 24 40 40 40 34 – 47
MVPs 6 10 10 10 7 – 13

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 58 /100

From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 466.5
Avg boost 46.4
Boost stolen / game 475.5
% time at 0 boost 20.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1531.8
% supersonic 15.0%
% time high in air 4.7%
Avg distance to ball 2966.4
% time attacking third 21.2%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 24.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S22Challenger29 0.620.521.03 477
S23Challenger44 1.040.661.11 468
S24Rival41 0.980.711.24 441
S25Rival14 0.640.571.5 483
S26Challenger25 0.840.841.52 467

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.84 0.95 0.86 – 1.0
Assists/game0.84 0.77 0.75 – 0.82
Saves/game1.52 1.5 1.41 – 1.6
Shots/game3.48 3.2 3.06 – 3.33

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Nixzy S26Elite 0.840.751.56 1.05
nave S22Master 1.040.821.5 1.06
Ace! S23Premier 0.770.711.48 1.34
nave S23Master 1.080.751.4 1.37
Shanerbaner S14Master 1.00.881.25 1.48
Spooky S20Elite 0.830.921.58 1.50
veil._ S19Elite 0.750.921.75 1.51
Jmh187- S23Challenger 0.890.71.51 1.61
I'm Pale S22Challenger 1.01.061.47 1.62
BawaRL S22Veteran 0.850.781.55 1.63

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.