Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 379.45 | 11004 |
|
| Goals | 0.93 | 27 |
|
| Assists | 0.72 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.38 | 40 |
|
| Shots | 3.38 | 98 |
|
| Demos | 0.83 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 379.45 | #220 / 1215 | #31 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.93 | #222 / 1215 | #34 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.72 | #163 / 1215 | #21 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.38 | #383 / 1215 | #48 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.83 | #576 / 1215 | #74 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (29 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (128 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11004 | 18214 | 18057 | 18057 | 17924 – 18189 |
| Goals | 27 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 37 – 50 |
| Assists | 21 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 28 – 40 |
| Saves | 40 | 66 | 66 | 65 | 58 – 74 |
| Shots | 98 | 162 | 159 | 158 | 146 – 171 |
| Demos | 24 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 34 – 47 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 13 |
From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 466.5 |
| Avg boost | 46.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 475.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 20.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1531.8 |
| % supersonic | 15.0% |
| % time high in air | 4.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2966.4 |
| % time attacking third | 21.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 24.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Challenger | 29 | 0.62 | 0.52 | 1.03 | 477 |
| S23 | Challenger | 44 | 1.04 | 0.66 | 1.11 | 468 |
| S24 | Rival | 41 | 0.98 | 0.71 | 1.24 | 441 |
| S25 | Rival | 14 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 1.5 | 483 |
| S26 | Challenger | 25 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 1.52 | 467 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.84 | 0.95 | 0.86 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.75 – 0.82 |
| Saves/game | 1.52 | 1.5 | 1.41 – 1.6 |
| Shots/game | 3.48 | 3.2 | 3.06 – 3.33 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nixzy | S26 | Elite | 0.84 | 0.75 | 1.56 | 1.05 |
| nave | S22 | Master | 1.04 | 0.82 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| Ace! | S23 | Premier | 0.77 | 0.71 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| nave | S23 | Master | 1.08 | 0.75 | 1.4 | 1.37 |
| Shanerbaner | S14 | Master | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Spooky | S20 | Elite | 0.83 | 0.92 | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| veil._ | S19 | Elite | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1.75 | 1.51 |
| Jmh187- | S23 | Challenger | 0.89 | 0.7 | 1.51 | 1.61 |
| I'm Pale | S22 | Challenger | 1.0 | 1.06 | 1.47 | 1.62 |
| BawaRL | S22 | Veteran | 0.85 | 0.78 | 1.55 | 1.63 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.