Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 307.83 | 5541 |
|
| Goals | 0.5 | 9 |
|
| Assists | 0.33 | 6 |
|
| Saves | 1.78 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 1.67 | 30 |
|
| Demos | 0.33 | 6 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 307.83 | #713 / 1215 | #60 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.5 | #791 / 1215 | #91 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.33 | #813 / 1215 | #90 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.78 | #78 / 1215 | #4 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.33 | #901 / 1215 | #102 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (18 → ~28 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (167 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5541 | 8619 | 8648 | 8648 | 8564 – 8732 |
| Goals | 9 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 11 – 18 |
| Assists | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 – 13 |
| Saves | 32 | 50 | 48 | 49 | 42 – 54 |
| Shots | 30 | 47 | 49 | 50 | 42 – 55 |
| Demos | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 – 14 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 317.2 |
| Avg boost | 52.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 321.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1426.3 |
| % supersonic | 8.5% |
| % time high in air | 1.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3332.2 |
| % time attacking third | 15.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 35.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Amateur | 56 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 1.62 | 299 |
| S24 | Amateur | 55 | 0.66 | 0.18 | 1.53 | 294 |
| S25 | Amateur | 56 | 1.29 | 0.54 | 1.29 | 327 |
| S26 | Contender | 17 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 2.24 | 317 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.53 | 0.5 | 0.38 – 0.62 |
| Assists/game | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.21 – 0.37 |
| Saves/game | 2.23 | 1.88 | 1.75 – 2.0 |
| Shots/game | 1.82 | 2.0 | 1.67 – 2.17 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicken | S21 | Rival | 0.5 | 0.25 | 2.12 | 1.07 |
| Goum | S13 | Veteran | 0.55 | 0.18 | 2.54 | 1.43 |
| iProfessorEx | S20 | Elite | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1.92 | 1.61 |
| Miserable | S20 | Master | 0.75 | 0.12 | 2.0 | 1.72 |
| Shraggaholic | S18 | Contender | 0.33 | 0.42 | 1.92 | 1.77 |
| Nova_ | S17 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.12 | 1.88 | 1.86 |
| BRG | S21 | Prospect | 0.36 | 0.27 | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| ADeadM0053 | S18 | Master | 0.12 | 0.12 | 2.38 | 1.86 |
| SCEET | S25 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.38 | 2.0 | 1.87 |
| ADeadM0053 | S21 | Master | 0.38 | 0.25 | 1.62 | 2.00 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.