Rule

Premier - Jokers - 12-10 (0.545)
97 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 22 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 97/100 Tier dominance: 52nd (-0.3 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
4% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 361.68 7957
58th
Goals 0.73 16
42nd
Assists 0.55 12
46th
Saves 1.64 36
73rd
Shots 2.64 58
56th
Demos 1.27 28
63rd

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points361.68 #332 / 1213 #22 / 73
Goals0.73 #500 / 1213 #30 / 73
Assists0.55 #446 / 1213 #27 / 73
Saves1.64 #151 / 1213 #14 / 73
Demos1.27 #231 / 1213 #19 / 73

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (22 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (163 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7957 12297 12301 12301 12201 – 12401
Goals 16 25 25 25 20 – 29
Assists 12 19 19 19 15 – 23
Saves 36 56 55 56 48 – 62
Shots 58 90 90 89 81 – 99
Demos 28 43 43 42 37 – 49
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 66 /100

From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 437.2
Avg boost 51.1
Boost stolen / game 703.6
% time at 0 boost 10.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1556.1
% supersonic 14.0%
% time high in air 6.4%
Avg distance to ball 2833.2
% time attacking third 22.5%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 1.7
Shooting % 27.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Premier11 1.180.362.36 397
S21Premier8 1.00.751.38 392
S22Premier37 0.780.431.68 422
S23Premier47 0.60.621.49 407
S24Premier34 0.970.711.65 422
S25Premier26 0.690.381.54 430
S26Premier22 0.730.551.64 437

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~82 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1162 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 97.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)30101184-1221 49% 386
RSC (official)165-7 42% 391
Non-RSC ranked 3v31162444-448 50% 357
Non-RSC other1832735-766 49% 405

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.73 0.73 0.69 – 0.81
Assists/game0.55 0.58 0.55 – 0.62
Saves/game1.64 1.53 1.45 – 1.65
Shots/game2.64 2.6 2.49 – 2.69

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Wafe S22Veteran 0.810.531.42 0.73
Laser S21Master 0.820.611.57 0.81
I.R.O.H. S17Prospect 0.550.551.54 0.94
Rzemb1e S21Master 0.850.581.77 1.00
Diamond ^.^ S23Master 0.720.541.46 1.00
Leonis S20Premier 0.850.651.45 1.02
janixity. S24Veteran 0.740.51.5 1.03
Water RL S21Premier 0.810.51.69 1.04
Gray S24Elite 0.820.571.54 1.05
ASHES. S22Premier 0.750.581.44 1.06

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.