Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 349.1 | 6982 |
|
| Goals | 0.95 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.35 | 7 |
|
| Saves | 1.3 | 26 |
|
| Shots | 2.3 | 46 |
|
| Demos | 0.95 | 19 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Veteran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 349.1 | #426 / 1213 | #67 / 169 |
| Goals | 0.95 | #214 / 1213 | #29 / 169 |
| Assists | 0.35 | #788 / 1213 | #118 / 169 |
| Saves | 1.3 | #466 / 1213 | #77 / 169 |
| Demos | 0.95 | #463 / 1213 | #71 / 169 |
56% of the season is played (20 → ~36 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (65 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6982 | 12568 | 12583 | 12583 | 12462 – 12703 |
| Goals | 19 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 27 – 39 |
| Assists | 7 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 – 18 |
| Saves | 26 | 47 | 47 | 49 | 40 – 55 |
| Shots | 46 | 83 | 84 | 84 | 74 – 94 |
| Demos | 19 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 28 – 41 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 307.6 |
| Avg boost | 51.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 389.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1475.4 |
| % supersonic | 8.3% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3049.8 |
| % time attacking third | 20.1% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 43.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Challenger | 8 | 0.5 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 291 |
| S25 | Challenger | 57 | 0.77 | 0.7 | 1.81 | 313 |
| S26 | Veteran | 20 | 0.95 | 0.35 | 1.3 | 308 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.95 | 0.89 | 0.81 – 0.93 |
| Assists/game | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.35 – 0.43 |
| Saves/game | 1.3 | 1.25 | 1.18 – 1.42 |
| Shots/game | 2.3 | 2.49 | 2.35 – 2.56 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ111_ | S22 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.42 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| CF0UR_ | S22 | Challenger | 0.94 | 0.34 | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| Emily26210 | S22 | Amateur | 0.74 | 0.32 | 1.21 | 0.98 |
| Vaz1fy. | S25 | Veteran | 0.9 | 0.38 | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Pure_Pusher | S22 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.42 | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| ConfuciusDragon | S22 | Prospect | 0.92 | 0.42 | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Hanz Simmer | S24 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.45 | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| VelesSkaza | S18 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.33 | 1.08 | 1.10 |
| ShazamPoof | S22 | Rival | 0.91 | 0.36 | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| NJ111_ | S23 | Rival | 0.98 | 0.47 | 1.49 | 1.12 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.