S0UL09

Veteran - Grizzly Bears - 12-8 (0.600)
63 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 20 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 63/100 Tier dominance: 31st (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Veteran Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
15% of games
Shot %
41%

Per-game production (percentile within Veteran)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 349.1 6982
50th
Goals 0.95 19
78th
Assists 0.35 7
11th
Saves 1.3 26
42nd
Shots 2.3 46
29th
Demos 0.95 19
47th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Veteran
Points349.1 #426 / 1213 #67 / 169
Goals0.95 #214 / 1213 #29 / 169
Assists0.35 #788 / 1213 #118 / 169
Saves1.3 #466 / 1213 #77 / 169
Demos0.95 #463 / 1213 #71 / 169

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (20 → ~36 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (65 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6982 12568 12583 12583 12462 – 12703
Goals 19 34 33 33 27 – 39
Assists 7 13 14 14 10 – 18
Saves 26 47 47 49 40 – 55
Shots 46 83 84 84 74 – 94
Demos 19 34 35 34 28 – 41
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 52 /100

From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 307.6
Avg boost 51.0
Boost stolen / game 389.1
% time at 0 boost 10.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1475.4
% supersonic 8.3%
% time high in air 3.4%
Avg distance to ball 3049.8
% time attacking third 20.1%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 43.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger8 0.50.380.75 291
S25Challenger57 0.770.71.81 313
S26Veteran20 0.950.351.3 308

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.95 0.89 0.81 – 0.93
Assists/game0.35 0.41 0.35 – 0.43
Saves/game1.3 1.25 1.18 – 1.42
Shots/game2.3 2.49 2.35 – 2.56

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
NJ111_ S22Rival 1.00.421.25 0.67
CF0UR_ S22Challenger 0.940.341.25 0.95
Emily26210 S22Amateur 0.740.321.21 0.98
Vaz1fy. S25Veteran 0.90.381.42 1.00
Pure_Pusher S22Challenger 1.00.421.15 1.05
ConfuciusDragon S22Prospect 0.920.421.25 1.06
Hanz Simmer S24Rival 0.810.451.14 1.07
VelesSkaza S18Rival 0.830.331.08 1.10
ShazamPoof S22Rival 0.910.361.18 1.10
NJ111_ S23Rival 0.980.471.49 1.12

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.