SU Magic7414

Veteran - Dragonborn - 5-5 (0.500)
64 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 64/100 Tier dominance: 37th (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Veteran Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
10% of games
Shot %
47%

Per-game production (percentile within Veteran)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 359.6 3596
58th
Goals 0.9 9
71st
Assists 0.4 4
15th
Saves 1.2 12
29th
Shots 1.9 19
8th
Demos 0.7 7
23rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Veteran
Points359.6 #343 / 1215 #57 / 170
Goals0.9 #248 / 1215 #38 / 170
Assists0.4 #725 / 1215 #113 / 170
Saves1.2 #573 / 1215 #95 / 170
Demos0.7 #674 / 1215 #104 / 170

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (10 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 3596 6473 6453 6371 – 6535
Goals 9 16 16 12 – 20
Assists 4 7 8 5 – 11
Saves 12 22 22 17 – 27
Shots 19 34 37 30 – 43
Demos 7 13 14 10 – 18
MVPs 1 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 6 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 355.2
Avg boost 50.4
Boost stolen / game 450.8
% time at 0 boost 8.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1575.5
% supersonic 14.7%
% time high in air 5.8%
Avg distance to ball 2987.8
% time attacking third 20.4%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 45.2%

Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.