Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 237.03 | 6874 |
|
| Goals | 0.59 | 17 |
|
| Assists | 0.41 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 0.52 | 15 |
|
| Shots | 1.59 | 46 |
|
| Demos | 0.72 | 21 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Amateur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 237.03 | #920 / 1215 | #40 / 61 |
| Goals | 0.59 | #717 / 1215 | #32 / 61 |
| Assists | 0.41 | #718 / 1215 | #24 / 61 |
| Saves | 0.52 | #933 / 1215 | #42 / 61 |
| Demos | 0.72 | #662 / 1215 | #21 / 61 |
69% of the season is played (29 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (66 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6874 | 9955 | 10123 | 10123 | 10038 – 10208 |
| Goals | 17 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 21 – 29 |
| Assists | 12 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 – 21 |
| Saves | 15 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 19 – 27 |
| Shots | 46 | 67 | 68 | 65 | 61 – 75 |
| Demos | 21 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 26 – 35 |
| MVPs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 403.0 |
| Avg boost | 52.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 332.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1539.7 |
| % supersonic | 13.6% |
| % time high in air | 2.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3215.6 |
| % time attacking third | 18.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 34.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Amateur | 20 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.05 | 237 |
| S23 | Amateur | 12 | 0.42 | 0.08 | 0.83 | 342 |
| S24 | Amateur | 4 | 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 398 |
| S25 | Amateur | 34 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.65 | 384 |
| S26 | Amateur | 29 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.52 | 403 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.5 – 0.69 |
| Assists/game | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.38 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 0.52 | 0.83 | 0.74 – 0.95 |
| Shots/game | 1.59 | 1.98 | 1.83 – 2.1 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cuse42 | S23 | Prospect | 0.64 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 1.25 |
| itsu_desu | S24 | Challenger | 0.8 | 0.46 | 0.74 | 1.46 |
| Nova_ | S13 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 1.49 |
| Colossus4203316 | S18 | Amateur | 0.53 | 0.28 | 0.47 | 1.50 |
| MedicMac121 | S25 | Amateur | 0.69 | 0.51 | 0.76 | 1.58 |
| archhie. | S20 | Veteran | 0.82 | 0.46 | 0.64 | 1.63 |
| Slinkxyz | S24 | Veteran | 0.45 | 0.4 | 0.95 | 1.67 |
| TVitchyramrod420 | S21 | Contender | 0.54 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 1.70 |
| Sinjaaa. | S21 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.36 | 1.0 | 1.72 |
| Rcmblocks | S19 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 1.73 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.