ShadowLightnin9

Amateur - Gnomes - 12-14 (0.462)
👤 Career - also played as HappyBuffalo2230
2 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 2/100 Tier dominance: 46th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Amateur Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
27% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Amateur)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 318.35 8277
60th
Goals 0.69 18
40th
Assists 0.31 8
26th
Saves 1.35 35
91st
Shots 2.35 61
68th
Demos 0.69 18
45th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Amateur
Points318.35 #648 / 1213 #19 / 61
Goals0.69 #553 / 1213 #28 / 61
Assists0.31 #838 / 1213 #35 / 61
Saves1.35 #412 / 1213 #4 / 61
Demos0.69 #672 / 1213 #26 / 61

Season projection

High confidence

69% of the season is played (26 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (28 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8277 12097 12028 12028 11936 – 12119
Goals 18 26 27 27 22 – 31
Assists 8 12 12 12 9 – 15
Saves 35 51 50 49 44 – 56
Shots 61 89 88 88 80 – 96
Demos 18 26 26 24 22 – 31
MVPs 7 10 10 10 7 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 20 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 268.6
Avg boost 54.1
Boost stolen / game 350.3
% time at 0 boost 5.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1414.3
% supersonic 9.0%
% time high in air 2.0%
Avg distance to ball 2934.9
% time attacking third 18.0%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 30.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Amateur28 0.890.460.89 240
S26Amateur30 0.80.31.23 269

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)496158-236 40% 381
RSC (official)7827-33 45% 324
Non-RSC ranked 3v374-1 80% 267
Non-RSC other411127-202 39% 394

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.8 0.76 0.72 – 0.83
Assists/game0.3 0.36 0.29 – 0.42
Saves/game1.23 1.19 1.09 – 1.3
Shots/game2.5 2.28 2.17 – 2.36

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
n00bpr0n S26Contender 0.720.341.34 0.92
Ursaversity S25Contender 0.760.261.08 1.10
Kenjicat17 S24Prospect 0.780.481.3 1.13
LustLizard S24Challenger 0.710.41.19 1.13
Korrello S25Prospect 0.630.291.1 1.14
Smitty S13Contender 0.820.361.18 1.16
Arana5418 S25Prospect 0.720.221.33 1.16
Chulainn S26Prospect 0.820.321.27 1.18
Kenjicat17 S19Amateur 0.870.391.0 1.21
BinBoiz S20Rival 0.830.421.0 1.21

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.