ShelbyCyan

Elite - Orochi - 5-5 (0.500)
73 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 73/100 Tier dominance: 5th (-1.5 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
43%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 254.2 2542
4th
Goals 0.6 6
20th
Assists 0.5 5
33rd
Saves 1.1 11
19th
Shots 1.4 14
3rd
Demos 0.7 7
24th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points254.2 #893 / 1215 #124 / 179
Goals0.6 #692 / 1215 #101 / 179
Assists0.5 #516 / 1215 #81 / 179
Saves1.1 #683 / 1215 #105 / 179
Demos0.7 #674 / 1215 #98 / 179

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (10 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (46 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2542 4576 4932 4932 4857 – 5008
Goals 6 11 11 11 8 – 15
Assists 5 9 9 9 6 – 12
Saves 11 20 21 21 16 – 26
Shots 14 25 29 30 23 – 35
Demos 7 13 14 13 10 – 18
MVPs 0 0 1 1 0 – 2

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 4 /100

From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 297.3
Avg boost 45.3
Boost stolen / game 370.4
% time at 0 boost 10.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1394.6
% supersonic 7.8%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 3332.5
% time attacking third 14.6%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 1.6
Shooting % 39.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Rival46 0.560.481.33 314
S26Elite10 0.60.51.1 297

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.6 0.53 0.47 – 0.56
Assists/game0.5 0.49 0.36 – 0.54
Saves/game1.1 1.14 1.0 – 1.25
Shots/game1.4 1.52 1.35 – 1.77

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
kgfan3 S18Contender 0.580.50.92 0.83
Sol S18Amateur 0.540.491.08 1.02
ASAPxLEG S24Amateur 0.490.530.88 1.05
sXCyBeast S23Amateur 0.50.451.14 1.26
El Booger Sugar S24Challenger 0.560.611.33 1.30
Just Zainnox S23Challenger 0.520.561.33 1.33
Russ S22Contender 0.620.540.77 1.35
Tazlien S20Challenger 0.420.581.17 1.38
BeardedFrodo1 S23Amateur 0.710.361.14 1.38
underbreadbore S14Amateur 0.580.311.14 1.39

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.