Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 361.45 | 10482 |
|
| Goals | 0.97 | 28 |
|
| Assists | 0.34 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.31 | 38 |
|
| Shots | 2.62 | 76 |
|
| Demos | 0.48 | 14 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 361.45 | #331 / 1215 | #39 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.97 | #191 / 1215 | #24 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.34 | #805 / 1215 | #114 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.31 | #463 / 1215 | #52 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.48 | #837 / 1215 | #110 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (29 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (56 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10482 | 17350 | 17223 | 17223 | 17093 – 17352 |
| Goals | 28 | 46 | 45 | 47 | 39 – 52 |
| Assists | 10 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 22 |
| Saves | 38 | 63 | 63 | 61 | 55 – 70 |
| Shots | 76 | 126 | 125 | 128 | 114 – 136 |
| Demos | 14 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 20 – 30 |
| MVPs | 7 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 – 14 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 327.9 |
| Avg boost | 51.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 392.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1490.8 |
| % supersonic | 12.2% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3375.4 |
| % time attacking third | 18.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 37.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Prospect | 56 | 1.09 | 0.43 | 0.96 | 339 |
| S26 | Prospect | 26 | 0.96 | 0.38 | 1.23 | 328 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.83 – 0.9 |
| Assists/game | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.37 – 0.46 |
| Saves/game | 1.23 | 1.26 | 1.12 – 1.29 |
| Shots/game | 2.62 | 2.57 | 2.35 – 2.64 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StaRazor | S23 | Prospect | 1.02 | 0.46 | 1.27 | 0.81 |
| AquaP | S25 | Veteran | 0.85 | 0.35 | 1.13 | 0.90 |
| Draxz. | S13 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.12 | 0.92 |
| Tydizzle | S14 | Rival | 0.92 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.98 |
| CN tyson | S21 | Contender | 1.05 | 0.38 | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| kamikaze7200 | S21 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.37 | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Clem | S13 | Veteran | 0.9 | 0.32 | 1.1 | 1.21 |
| Porkchop | S21 | Rival | 0.85 | 0.35 | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Kesu | S23 | Rival | 0.72 | 0.39 | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| ChefHoffy | S23 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.48 | 1.26 | 1.22 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.