ShxdowBat

Prospect - Merchants - 17-12 (0.586)
👤 Career - also played as XzShxdowBatX
23 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 29 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 23/100 Tier dominance: 51st (+0.0 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
24% of games
Shot %
37%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 361.45 10482
71st
Goals 0.97 28
81st
Assists 0.34 10
14th
Saves 1.31 38
61st
Shots 2.62 76
64th
Demos 0.48 14
17th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points361.45 #331 / 1215 #39 / 161
Goals0.97 #191 / 1215 #24 / 161
Assists0.34 #805 / 1215 #114 / 161
Saves1.31 #463 / 1215 #52 / 161
Demos0.48 #837 / 1215 #110 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (29 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (56 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10482 17350 17223 17223 17093 – 17352
Goals 28 46 45 47 39 – 52
Assists 10 17 17 17 13 – 22
Saves 38 63 63 61 55 – 70
Shots 76 126 125 128 114 – 136
Demos 14 23 25 24 20 – 30
MVPs 7 12 11 11 8 – 14

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 46 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 327.9
Avg boost 51.2
Boost stolen / game 392.7
% time at 0 boost 8.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1490.8
% supersonic 12.2%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 3375.4
% time attacking third 18.4%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 37.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Prospect56 1.090.430.96 339
S26Prospect26 0.960.381.23 328

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.96 0.89 0.83 – 0.9
Assists/game0.39 0.39 0.37 – 0.46
Saves/game1.23 1.26 1.12 – 1.29
Shots/game2.62 2.57 2.35 – 2.64

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
StaRazor S23Prospect 1.020.461.27 0.81
AquaP S25Veteran 0.850.351.13 0.90
Draxz. S13Challenger 0.750.381.12 0.92
Tydizzle S14Rival 0.920.331.33 0.98
CN tyson S21Contender 1.050.380.97 1.16
kamikaze7200 S21Challenger 0.90.371.26 1.17
Clem S13Veteran 0.90.321.1 1.21
Porkchop S21Rival 0.850.351.23 1.21
Kesu S23Rival 0.720.391.28 1.22
ChefHoffy S23Rival 0.830.481.26 1.22

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.