Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 376.88 | 9799 |
|
| Goals | 0.77 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.54 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 1.42 | 37 |
|
| Shots | 3.08 | 80 |
|
| Demos | 0.88 | 23 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Master |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 376.88 | #237 / 1213 | #26 / 107 |
| Goals | 0.77 | #426 / 1213 | #34 / 107 |
| Assists | 0.54 | #459 / 1213 | #35 / 107 |
| Saves | 1.42 | #330 / 1213 | #39 / 107 |
| Demos | 0.88 | #506 / 1213 | #49 / 107 |
60% of the season is played (26 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (115 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9799 | 16206 | 16103 | 16103 | 15979 – 16228 |
| Goals | 20 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 27 – 39 |
| Assists | 14 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 18 – 28 |
| Saves | 37 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 53 – 69 |
| Shots | 80 | 132 | 130 | 134 | 119 – 141 |
| Demos | 23 | 38 | 39 | 39 | 33 – 46 |
| MVPs | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 13 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 442.6 |
| Avg boost | 45.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 600.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 16.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1533.5 |
| % supersonic | 17.8% |
| % time high in air | 6.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2749.0 |
| % time attacking third | 22.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 25.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Elite | 8 | 1.38 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 477 |
| S22 | Master | 7 | 1.29 | 0.57 | 1.57 | 437 |
| S23 | Elite | 51 | 0.92 | 0.45 | 1.61 | 460 |
| S24 | Elite | 56 | 0.86 | 0.98 | 1.46 | 469 |
| S25 | Master | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 485 |
| S26 | Master | 26 | 0.77 | 0.54 | 1.42 | 446 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.73 – 0.92 |
| Assists/game | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.5 – 0.61 |
| Saves/game | 1.42 | 1.4 | 1.25 – 1.46 |
| Shots/game | 3.08 | 3.0 | 2.81 – 3.2 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PackRL | S24 | Veteran | 0.88 | 0.65 | 1.4 | 1.02 |
| Percussive3260 | S22 | Veteran | 0.73 | 0.6 | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| 4SkillNotFound | S25 | Rival | 0.85 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 1.13 |
| Qundar al-Din | S24 | Premier | 0.92 | 0.58 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| gxcid | S24 | Rival | 0.94 | 0.54 | 1.61 | 1.16 |
| LikeWisse | S21 | Premier | 0.69 | 0.62 | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Car. | S22 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.43 | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| snugcore | S25 | Elite | 0.75 | 0.57 | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| illuzhn | S23 | Elite | 0.7 | 0.61 | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| not so jucy skep | S23 | Elite | 0.92 | 0.45 | 1.61 | 1.27 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.