Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 374.93 | 5249 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.43 | 6 |
|
| Saves | 1.5 | 21 |
|
| Shots | 2.57 | 36 |
|
| Demos | 0.5 | 7 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 374.93 | #247 / 1213 | #28 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #318 / 1213 | #43 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.43 | #666 / 1213 | #90 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.5 | #241 / 1213 | #24 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.5 | #797 / 1213 | #104 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (14 → ~23 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (10 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5249 | 8623 | 8475 | 8475 | 8389 – 8562 |
| Goals | 12 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 15 – 23 |
| Assists | 6 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 – 13 |
| Saves | 21 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 28 – 39 |
| Shots | 36 | 59 | 58 | 62 | 51 – 66 |
| Demos | 7 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 9 – 17 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 380.4 |
| Avg boost | 50.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 385.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1508.9 |
| % supersonic | 13.4% |
| % time high in air | 3.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2748.1 |
| % time attacking third | 17.7% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 33.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 10 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 402 |
| S26 | Prospect | 14 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 1.5 | 380 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.8 – 0.9 |
| Assists/game | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.39 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.5 | 1.54 | 1.48 – 1.58 |
| Shots/game | 2.57 | 2.56 | 2.33 – 2.75 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitro | S22 | Veteran | 0.79 | 0.51 | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| DribblingPenguin | S23 | Veteran | 0.91 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 0.92 |
| SlimmySlimReaper | S23 | Rival | 0.8 | 0.39 | 1.55 | 0.97 |
| Irozuh. | S25 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.53 | 1.47 | 0.99 |
| Nitro | S24 | Veteran | 0.91 | 0.39 | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| cowtooth | S20 | Rival | 0.92 | 0.42 | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| jnah | S14 | Master | 0.83 | 0.33 | 1.58 | 1.07 |
| TheodoreThe2 | S24 | Veteran | 0.85 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.09 |
| JimJams | S26 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.10 |
| BBlaazee. | S24 | Prospect | 0.9 | 0.36 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.