SleepyCrimson_

Prospect - Okapis - 4-10 (0.286)
21 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 14 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 21/100 Tier dominance: 35th (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
14% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 374.93 5249
79th
Goals 0.86 12
67th
Assists 0.43 6
29th
Saves 1.5 21
79th
Shots 2.57 36
59th
Demos 0.5 7
18th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points374.93 #247 / 1213 #28 / 161
Goals0.86 #318 / 1213 #43 / 161
Assists0.43 #666 / 1213 #90 / 161
Saves1.5 #241 / 1213 #24 / 161
Demos0.5 #797 / 1213 #104 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (14 → ~23 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (10 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 5249 8623 8475 8475 8389 – 8562
Goals 12 20 19 19 15 – 23
Assists 6 10 10 11 7 – 13
Saves 21 34 34 32 28 – 39
Shots 36 59 58 62 51 – 66
Demos 7 12 13 14 9 – 17
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 55 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 380.4
Avg boost 50.2
Boost stolen / game 385.1
% time at 0 boost 10.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1508.9
% supersonic 13.4%
% time high in air 3.8%
Avg distance to ball 2748.1
% time attacking third 17.7%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 33.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger10 0.80.70.9 402
S26Prospect14 0.860.431.5 380

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.86 0.84 0.8 – 0.9
Assists/game0.43 0.46 0.39 – 0.5
Saves/game1.5 1.54 1.48 – 1.58
Shots/game2.57 2.56 2.33 – 2.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Nitro S22Veteran 0.790.511.49 0.92
DribblingPenguin S23Veteran 0.910.561.56 0.92
SlimmySlimReaper S23Rival 0.80.391.55 0.97
Irozuh. S25Rival 0.90.531.47 0.99
Nitro S24Veteran 0.910.391.72 1.03
cowtooth S20Rival 0.920.421.58 1.03
jnah S14Master 0.830.331.58 1.07
TheodoreThe2 S24Veteran 0.850.51.6 1.09
JimJams S26Rival 0.750.51.3 1.10
BBlaazee. S24Prospect 0.90.361.44 1.11

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.