Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 353.66 | 12378 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 29 |
|
| Assists | 0.69 | 24 |
|
| Saves | 1.23 | 43 |
|
| Shots | 2.77 | 97 |
|
| Demos | 3.74 | 131 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 353.66 | #392 / 1215 | #54 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #355 / 1215 | #54 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.69 | #209 / 1215 | #26 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.23 | #550 / 1215 | #90 / 164 |
| Demos | 3.74 | #3 / 1215 | #1 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (35 → ~62 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (151 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12378 | 21927 | 21864 | 21864 | 21705 – 22023 |
| Goals | 29 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 43 – 59 |
| Assists | 24 | 43 | 42 | 42 | 35 – 49 |
| Saves | 43 | 76 | 77 | 76 | 67 – 86 |
| Shots | 97 | 172 | 170 | 169 | 156 – 184 |
| Demos | 131 | 232 | 218 | 230 | 203 – 234 |
| MVPs | 6 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 7 – 14 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 437.9 |
| Avg boost | 47.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 728.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1597.4 |
| % supersonic | 18.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3263.0 |
| % time attacking third | 21.6% |
| Demos / game | 3.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 29.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 20 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 1.05 | 402 |
| S21 | Rival | 12 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 408 |
| S22 | Rival | 12 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 443 |
| S23 | Rival | 51 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 1.16 | 433 |
| S24 | Veteran | 42 | 0.69 | 0.52 | 1.38 | 408 |
| S25 | Veteran | 14 | 0.79 | 0.57 | 1.5 | 413 |
| S26 | Rival | 31 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 1.26 | 438 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.65 – 0.83 |
| Assists/game | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.57 – 0.73 |
| Saves/game | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.14 – 1.38 |
| Shots/game | 2.74 | 2.43 | 2.26 – 2.68 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soda. . | S23 | Rival | 0.74 | 0.72 | 1.16 | 1.30 |
| Soda. . | S25 | Veteran | 0.79 | 0.57 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Angel <3 | S21 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.56 | 1.38 | 1.58 |
| Hirsch | S21 | Master | 0.71 | 0.68 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| The_Wheelman_95 | S22 | Veteran | 0.82 | 0.7 | 1.48 | 1.63 |
| Soda. . | S21 | Rival | 0.83 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.81 |
| DEMOralize | S25 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.57 | 1.11 | 1.82 |
| Soda. . | S24 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.52 | 1.38 | 1.94 |
| RBLegend#Nully | S18 | Elite | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.04 |
| Soda. . | S22 | Rival | 0.67 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 2.05 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.