Spul4k

Challenger - Scribes - 5-5 (0.500)
37 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 37/100 Tier dominance: 45th (-0.3 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
10% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 337.6 3376
50th
Goals 0.7 7
42nd
Assists 0.5 5
41st
Saves 1.5 15
74th
Shots 2.5 25
50th
Demos 0.5 5
15th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points337.6 #521 / 1215 #67 / 166
Goals0.7 #553 / 1215 #77 / 166
Assists0.5 #516 / 1215 #71 / 166
Saves1.5 #240 / 1215 #31 / 166
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #110 / 166

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (10 → ~17 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (116 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3376 5739 5751 5751 5677 – 5824
Goals 7 12 12 11 9 – 15
Assists 5 8 9 8 6 – 11
Saves 15 26 25 25 20 – 30
Shots 25 42 42 40 36 – 49
Demos 5 8 10 10 7 – 13
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 8 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 354.3
Avg boost 54.9
Boost stolen / game 500.6
% time at 0 boost 6.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1456.6
% supersonic 10.0%
% time high in air 4.7%
Avg distance to ball 3092.7
% time attacking third 22.0%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.5
Shooting % 29.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Challenger50 0.480.461.54 343
S24Challenger44 0.730.391.34 361
S25Challenger22 0.360.591.5 353
S26Challenger8 0.880.381.62 354

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.88 0.89 0.78 – 1.0
Assists/game0.38 0.43 0.36 – 0.5
Saves/game1.62 1.56 1.46 – 1.62
Shots/game2.75 2.62 2.5 – 2.78

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
im_link42 S24Amateur 1.00.441.61 0.59
Cryke S26Veteran 0.940.441.5 1.01
Mulliganisoup S23Prospect 0.960.431.43 1.06
kyddie. S14Rival 1.00.441.67 1.07
Mulliganisoup S26Prospect 0.780.441.56 1.10
Chronic Lies S13Rival 0.830.51.5 1.11
Geherpaderp S22Master 0.850.581.56 1.11
JazzMagic. S23Rival 0.90.391.46 1.11
Benny! S22Rival 1.070.431.5 1.17
Saucy Rexy S18Veteran 1.00.331.42 1.18

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.