Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 347.25 | 12501 |
|
| Goals | 0.64 | 23 |
|
| Assists | 0.53 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.28 | 46 |
|
| Shots | 2.61 | 94 |
|
| Demos | 1.33 | 48 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 347.25 | #447 / 1215 | #51 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.64 | #641 / 1215 | #85 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.53 | #488 / 1215 | #66 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.28 | #493 / 1215 | #57 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.33 | #203 / 1215 | #19 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (36 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (136 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12501 | 20835 | 20762 | 20762 | 20618 – 20907 |
| Goals | 23 | 38 | 39 | 38 | 32 – 45 |
| Assists | 19 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 26 – 37 |
| Saves | 46 | 77 | 76 | 75 | 68 – 85 |
| Shots | 94 | 157 | 156 | 156 | 143 – 168 |
| Demos | 48 | 80 | 78 | 78 | 69 – 87 |
| MVPs | 7 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 – 15 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 383.4 |
| Avg boost | 51.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 727.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1543.7 |
| % supersonic | 16.0% |
| % time high in air | 4.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3068.0 |
| % time attacking third | 23.1% |
| Demos / game | 1.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 24.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Challenger | 35 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.17 | 396 |
| S24 | Challenger | 57 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.98 | 388 |
| S25 | Challenger | 44 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.96 | 380 |
| S26 | Prospect | 32 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 1.22 | 383 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.66 | 0.68 | 0.66 – 0.73 |
| Assists/game | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.53 – 0.6 |
| Saves/game | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.18 – 1.29 |
| Shots/game | 2.62 | 2.53 | 2.46 – 2.59 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .krs | S25 | Premier | 0.56 | 0.59 | 1.37 | 0.77 |
| Drupenson | S23 | Rival | 0.76 | 0.52 | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Irozuh- | S23 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.6 | 1.21 | 0.81 |
| CrowBar7570 | S23 | Rival | 0.71 | 0.55 | 1.18 | 0.84 |
| cjAstr0- | S22 | Rival | 0.78 | 0.56 | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| gemini | S14 | Master | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Diamond ^.^ | S23 | Master | 0.72 | 0.54 | 1.46 | 0.87 |
| Skulzy | S25 | Master | 0.61 | 0.52 | 1.35 | 0.90 |
| archhie. | S23 | Veteran | 0.73 | 0.54 | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| AveX InceptionZ | S22 | Challenger | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1.25 | 0.93 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.