StephM2_

Contender - Cheese Pizza - 15-19 (0.441)
👤 Career - also played as StephMoney2
15 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 15/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.5 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
24% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 341.62 11615
71st
Goals 0.91 31
76th
Assists 0.53 18
64th
Saves 1.18 40
59th
Shots 2.53 86
72nd
Demos 1.18 40
84th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points341.62 #487 / 1215 #32 / 134
Goals0.91 #244 / 1215 #27 / 134
Assists0.53 #483 / 1215 #39 / 134
Saves1.18 #601 / 1215 #46 / 134
Demos1.18 #279 / 1215 #18 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (34 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (183 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11615 18106 18017 18017 17893 – 18140
Goals 31 48 48 48 41 – 54
Assists 18 28 28 28 23 – 33
Saves 40 62 62 62 55 – 69
Shots 86 134 133 134 123 – 144
Demos 40 62 61 62 54 – 68
MVPs 8 12 12 12 9 – 15

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 78 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 413.5
Avg boost 53.5
Boost stolen / game 657.6
% time at 0 boost 9.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1581.4
% supersonic 16.1%
% time high in air 2.5%
Avg distance to ball 3112.2
% time attacking third 23.9%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 32.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S22Amateur40 0.950.551.08 339
S23Amateur51 0.710.411.1 352
S24Amateur47 0.890.471.38 373
S25Contender45 1.090.671.24 378
S26Contender31 0.940.551.1 414

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.94 0.9 0.83 – 0.97
Assists/game0.55 0.57 0.51 – 0.61
Saves/game1.1 1.12 1.05 – 1.27
Shots/game2.58 2.67 2.58 – 2.83

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
SUPERDUPERBAM S19Challenger 1.00.581.08 0.65
GreenSleeves S26Premier 0.890.461.32 0.91
Dx Geo xD S22Veteran 0.970.551.34 0.95
Feen S21Veteran 0.940.691.0 0.96
GameGang S26Veteran 0.810.521.19 0.97
Rzemb1e S24Master 0.850.671.18 0.99
Calc S20Master 0.830.581.17 1.00
KamdenRL S23Veteran 0.820.570.96 1.04
Squatch70 S23Rival 1.040.521.0 1.04
JmE S20Challenger 0.880.621.0 1.05

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.