Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 347.57 | 12165 |
|
| Goals | 0.77 | 27 |
|
| Assists | 0.4 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 1.49 | 52 |
|
| Shots | 2.66 | 93 |
|
| Demos | 1.23 | 43 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 347.57 | #444 / 1215 | #66 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.77 | #435 / 1215 | #66 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.4 | #725 / 1215 | #102 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.49 | #280 / 1215 | #38 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.23 | #252 / 1215 | #35 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (35 → ~62 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (204 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12165 | 21549 | 21517 | 21517 | 21359 – 21676 |
| Goals | 27 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 40 – 55 |
| Assists | 14 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 20 – 31 |
| Saves | 52 | 92 | 91 | 94 | 81 – 102 |
| Shots | 93 | 165 | 164 | 164 | 150 – 178 |
| Demos | 43 | 76 | 75 | 76 | 66 – 85 |
| MVPs | 7 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 8 – 16 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 324.8 |
| Avg boost | 55.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 487.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1515.1 |
| % supersonic | 9.4% |
| % time high in air | 4.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3117.4 |
| % time attacking third | 21.9% |
| Demos / game | 1.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 30.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 11 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 1.82 | 295 |
| S21 | Rival | 16 | 0.88 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 326 |
| S22 | Rival | 4 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 301 |
| S23 | Rival | 50 | 0.68 | 0.54 | 2.02 | 302 |
| S24 | Rival | 60 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.42 | 328 |
| S25 | Rival | 67 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.79 | 321 |
| S26 | Rival | 31 | 0.77 | 0.45 | 1.55 | 325 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.73 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.45 | 0.5 | 0.44 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.41 – 1.55 |
| Shots/game | 2.61 | 2.56 | 2.34 – 2.81 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surge85 | S24 | Rival | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.42 | 0.98 |
| Evelynnx | S24 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 1.01 |
| ShoddyWolfman | S23 | Rival | 0.59 | 0.44 | 1.54 | 1.20 |
| MattViaAirwaves | S23 | Rival | 0.74 | 0.56 | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| jpablo | S17 | Premier | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
| Classy | S25 | Elite | 0.88 | 0.57 | 1.41 | 1.24 |
| DonYvan | S23 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.46 | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Bazzinga | S24 | Rival | 0.86 | 0.59 | 1.3 | 1.25 |
| RyanAwesome_ | S24 | Veteran | 0.98 | 0.52 | 1.55 | 1.26 |
| BuckNekkid15 | S18 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.27 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.