ThatHomieGage

Prospect - Aetherborn - 10-5 (0.667)
30 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 15 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 30/100 Tier dominance: 94th (+1.6 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
27% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 429.4 6441
95th
Goals 1.0 15
83rd
Assists 0.8 12
90th
Saves 1.6 24
89th
Shots 3.07 46
89th
Demos 1.47 22
89th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points429.4 #48 / 1213 #7 / 161
Goals1.0 #139 / 1213 #19 / 161
Assists0.8 #86 / 1213 #12 / 161
Saves1.6 #169 / 1213 #13 / 161
Demos1.47 #156 / 1213 #15 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (35 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6441 10735 10388 10388 10292 – 10485
Goals 15 25 24 24 19 – 29
Assists 12 20 19 20 15 – 23
Saves 24 40 39 39 33 – 45
Shots 46 77 74 74 66 – 82
Demos 22 37 35 35 29 – 40
MVPs 4 7 6 6 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 97 /100

From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 447.2
Avg boost 50.9
Boost stolen / game 619.1
% time at 0 boost 14.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1559.8
% supersonic 16.1%
% time high in air 4.8%
Avg distance to ball 2817.6
% time attacking third 22.5%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 0.5
Shooting % 33.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Prospect35 0.740.81.49 428
S26Prospect15 1.00.81.6 447

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 0.97 0.92 – 1.05
Assists/game0.8 0.75 0.73 – 0.81
Saves/game1.6 1.5 1.46 – 1.65
Shots/game3.07 3.0 2.88 – 3.08

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
LMAO Beer Me S14Veteran 1.00.751.5 0.54
SyrupBloodz S23Veteran 0.860.81.4 1.00
(Jay) S23Elite 0.890.821.72 1.03
Saucey S25Master 0.970.751.48 1.03
SirTommyNoble S23Veteran 0.940.751.65 1.09
Captain Daddy S24Veteran 0.950.811.39 1.09
BIGbadBULLMAN13 S20Rival 1.120.941.5 1.15
vaillantxxx S23Veteran 0.90.691.62 1.16
Yoza S25Veteran 0.970.661.46 1.17
Envy Raptor S25Rival 1.110.751.51 1.18

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.