Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 429.4 | 6441 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.8 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.6 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 3.07 | 46 |
|
| Demos | 1.47 | 22 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 429.4 | #48 / 1213 | #7 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #139 / 1213 | #19 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.8 | #86 / 1213 | #12 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.6 | #169 / 1213 | #13 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.47 | #156 / 1213 | #15 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (35 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6441 | 10735 | 10388 | 10388 | 10292 – 10485 |
| Goals | 15 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 19 – 29 |
| Assists | 12 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 15 – 23 |
| Saves | 24 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 33 – 45 |
| Shots | 46 | 77 | 74 | 74 | 66 – 82 |
| Demos | 22 | 37 | 35 | 35 | 29 – 40 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 9 |
From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 447.2 |
| Avg boost | 50.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 619.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1559.8 |
| % supersonic | 16.1% |
| % time high in air | 4.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2817.6 |
| % time attacking third | 22.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.5 |
| Shooting % | 33.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Prospect | 35 | 0.74 | 0.8 | 1.49 | 428 |
| S26 | Prospect | 15 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 447 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.0 | 0.97 | 0.92 – 1.05 |
| Assists/game | 0.8 | 0.75 | 0.73 – 0.81 |
| Saves/game | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.46 – 1.65 |
| Shots/game | 3.07 | 3.0 | 2.88 – 3.08 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMAO Beer Me | S14 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 0.54 |
| SyrupBloodz | S23 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.00 |
| (Jay) | S23 | Elite | 0.89 | 0.82 | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Saucey | S25 | Master | 0.97 | 0.75 | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| SirTommyNoble | S23 | Veteran | 0.94 | 0.75 | 1.65 | 1.09 |
| Captain Daddy | S24 | Veteran | 0.95 | 0.81 | 1.39 | 1.09 |
| BIGbadBULLMAN13 | S20 | Rival | 1.12 | 0.94 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| vaillantxxx | S23 | Veteran | 0.9 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.16 |
| Yoza | S25 | Veteran | 0.97 | 0.66 | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| Envy Raptor | S25 | Rival | 1.11 | 0.75 | 1.51 | 1.18 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.