TheAirGerbil

Prospect - Koala Bears - 16-12 (0.571)
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 63rd (+0.3 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
29% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 357.04 9997
67th
Goals 0.86 24
65th
Assists 0.54 15
52nd
Saves 1.29 36
59th
Shots 2.89 81
83rd
Demos 0.46 13
14th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points357.04 #366 / 1215 #44 / 161
Goals0.86 #306 / 1215 #45 / 161
Assists0.54 #469 / 1215 #63 / 161
Saves1.29 #482 / 1215 #54 / 161
Demos0.46 #849 / 1215 #114 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 9997 16781 16669 16540 – 16798
Goals 24 40 40 33 – 46
Assists 15 25 25 20 – 30
Saves 36 60 60 52 – 68
Shots 81 136 134 122 – 145
Demos 13 22 24 19 – 29
MVPs 8 13 13 9 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 19 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 269.4
Avg boost 45.9
Boost stolen / game 425.3
% time at 0 boost 10.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1419.8
% supersonic 7.5%
% time high in air 2.3%
Avg distance to ball 3187.5
% time attacking third 20.4%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 29.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Challenger6 0.671.01.33 255
S26Prospect24 0.790.621.29 269

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~67 OVR High confidence — inferred from 126 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 25.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)2808935-1290 42% 332
RSC (official)4822-16 58% 315
Non-RSC ranked 3v312648-51 48% 332
Non-RSC other2634865-1223 41% 332

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.79 0.84 0.82 – 0.9
Assists/game0.62 0.56 0.5 – 0.64
Saves/game1.29 1.3 1.15 – 1.42
Shots/game2.79 2.64 2.54 – 2.72

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
ZeroPop11 S17Rival 0.680.641.16 0.86
Rob S24Prospect 0.840.541.23 0.93
SlmRnchr S23Veteran 0.850.591.47 0.95
Pinilla S17Prospect 0.830.671.5 1.01
DaTurquoisOrang S13Challenger 0.750.691.44 1.03
GeneralZippy S20Master 0.820.641.43 1.13
Fetty_Steve98 S22Prospect 0.830.51.33 1.15
VickyViksta S25Challenger 0.760.511.1 1.24
Miserable S24Elite 0.760.581.47 1.28
dinger936 S17Rival 0.910.551.36 1.29

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.