Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 252.5 | 2020 |
|
| Goals | 0.12 | 1 |
|
| Assists | 0.38 | 3 |
|
| Saves | 1.62 | 13 |
|
| Shots | 1.38 | 11 |
|
| Demos | 1.12 | 9 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 252.5 | #895 / 1215 | #128 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.12 | #933 / 1215 | #131 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.38 | #761 / 1215 | #107 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.62 | #156 / 1215 | #24 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.12 | #313 / 1215 | #46 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (8 → ~14 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (42 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 2020 | 3535 | 3801 | 3801 | 3738 – 3865 |
| Goals | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 – 6 |
| Assists | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
| Saves | 13 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 17 – 26 |
| Shots | 11 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 17 – 28 |
| Demos | 9 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 – 19 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 – 1 |
From 8 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.
| Boost / min | 342.7 |
| Avg boost | 49.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 357.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1467.3 |
| % supersonic | 7.9% |
| % time high in air | 2.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3275.5 |
| % time attacking third | 16.2% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 6.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Rival | 42 | 0.6 | 0.38 | 1.31 | 350 |
| S26 | Rival | 8 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 1.62 | 343 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.25 – 0.4 |
| Assists/game | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.27 – 0.43 |
| Saves/game | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1.34 – 1.63 |
| Shots/game | 1.38 | 1.56 | 1.42 – 1.7 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| waynswrld | S25 | Prospect | 0.21 | 0.42 | 1.37 | 1.08 |
| NitemareRL | S25 | Prospect | 0.25 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| cJax | S22 | Veteran | 0.42 | 0.49 | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| BRG | S21 | Prospect | 0.36 | 0.27 | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Dunnie14 | S25 | Veteran | 0.22 | 0.22 | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| vAirwick | S20 | Challenger | 0.27 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 1.68 |
| El Booger Sugar | S25 | Prospect | 0.52 | 0.3 | 1.45 | 1.69 |
| Loko Deputy | S24 | Challenger | 0.41 | 0.47 | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| ItsRickalicious | S25 | Prospect | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.73 |
| T_i_m_o_g | S18 | Amateur | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1.49 | 1.74 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.