TrytonsShadow95

Contender - Ice - 7-17 (0.292)
14 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 14/100 Tier dominance: 75th (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
12% of games
Shot %
46%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 325.12 7803
60th
Goals 0.79 19
63rd
Assists 0.46 11
44th
Saves 0.92 22
17th
Shots 1.71 41
11th
Demos 1.21 29
86th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points325.12 #617 / 1215 #44 / 134
Goals0.79 #410 / 1215 #40 / 134
Assists0.46 #629 / 1215 #61 / 134
Saves0.92 #831 / 1215 #90 / 134
Demos1.21 #260 / 1215 #15 / 134

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (87 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7803 12030 12003 12003 11905 – 12102
Goals 19 29 29 29 24 – 34
Assists 11 17 17 17 13 – 21
Saves 22 34 35 35 29 – 40
Shots 41 63 65 66 58 – 73
Demos 29 45 43 46 38 – 49
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 85 /100

From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 422.5
Avg boost 49.4
Boost stolen / game 427.4
% time at 0 boost 18.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1585.0
% supersonic 16.7%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 3026.5
% time attacking third 22.5%
Demos / game 1.4
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 46.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Prospect36 0.670.421.33 431
S25Contender51 0.690.550.96 439
S26Contender20 0.850.250.95 423

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.85 0.75 0.67 – 0.88
Assists/game0.25 0.4 0.37 – 0.49
Saves/game0.95 1.04 0.89 – 1.13
Shots/game1.85 2.23 1.94 – 2.35

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Array S20Prospect 0.880.381.1 1.39
Phelpsy S21Elite 1.00.331.08 1.42
honk=bonk S17Master 0.880.381.25 1.49
Cuddlingus S24Challenger 0.610.410.89 1.49
nekodah S21Elite 0.750.250.88 1.50
Geo S26Elite 0.740.481.04 1.54
sturmo. S17Veteran 0.930.41.13 1.56
pacman S20Prospect 0.890.110.89 1.57
N0TTopmarx S22Challenger 0.650.521.04 1.59
Galaxiezz. S23Master 0.680.460.93 1.60

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.