Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 352.38 | 8457 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.21 | 5 |
|
| Saves | 1.46 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 2.71 | 65 |
|
| Demos | 0.5 | 12 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 352.38 | #402 / 1215 | #28 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #331 / 1215 | #35 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.21 | #908 / 1215 | #104 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.46 | #309 / 1215 | #22 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.5 | #806 / 1215 | #82 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (109 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8457 | 13038 | 12923 | 12923 | 12822 – 13025 |
| Goals | 20 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 26 – 35 |
| Assists | 5 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 – 12 |
| Saves | 35 | 54 | 53 | 53 | 46 – 59 |
| Shots | 65 | 100 | 99 | 97 | 90 – 108 |
| Demos | 12 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 15 – 24 |
| MVPs | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 8 |
From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 306.2 |
| Avg boost | 47.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 428.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1427.0 |
| % supersonic | 7.4% |
| % time high in air | 1.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2877.8 |
| % time attacking third | 19.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 29.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Prospect | 32 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 1.06 | 258 |
| S24 | Prospect | 22 | 0.86 | 0.5 | 1.04 | 283 |
| S25 | Contender | 55 | 0.93 | 0.26 | 1.34 | 269 |
| S26 | Contender | 20 | 0.85 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 306 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.85 | 0.83 | 0.73 – 0.94 |
| Assists/game | 0.2 | 0.33 | 0.26 – 0.38 |
| Saves/game | 1.3 | 1.26 | 1.2 – 1.38 |
| Shots/game | 2.8 | 2.63 | 2.47 – 2.74 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ShiftDrink | S24 | Challenger | 0.83 | 0.14 | 1.33 | 0.76 |
| EarthArc2157 | S13 | Elite | 0.67 | 0.25 | 1.42 | 1.13 |
| Pure_Pusher | S23 | Challenger | 1.08 | 0.26 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| IVIGhost | S21 | Rival | 0.74 | 0.3 | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| RedWingLegendAYG | S20 | Prospect | 0.63 | 0.23 | 1.2 | 1.21 |
| Vortex3524 | S24 | Rival | 0.8 | 0.29 | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| fender_bender2 | S24 | Challenger | 0.89 | 0.39 | 1.22 | 1.26 |
| ShazamPoof | S22 | Rival | 0.91 | 0.36 | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| TyTy | S21 | Master | 0.94 | 0.25 | 1.19 | 1.28 |
| VickyViksta | S24 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.39 | 1.46 | 1.28 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.