Tyson_WA

Contender - Squeaky Bandits - 6-18 (0.250)
10 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 10/100 Tier dominance: 40th (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
17% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 352.38 8457
75th
Goals 0.83 20
68th
Assists 0.21 5
6th
Saves 1.46 35
80th
Shots 2.71 65
80th
Demos 0.5 12
18th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points352.38 #402 / 1215 #28 / 134
Goals0.83 #331 / 1215 #35 / 134
Assists0.21 #908 / 1215 #104 / 134
Saves1.46 #309 / 1215 #22 / 134
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #82 / 134

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (109 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8457 13038 12923 12923 12822 – 13025
Goals 20 31 30 31 26 – 35
Assists 5 8 9 8 6 – 12
Saves 35 54 53 53 46 – 59
Shots 65 100 99 97 90 – 108
Demos 12 18 20 18 15 – 24
MVPs 4 6 6 6 4 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 30 /100

From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 306.2
Avg boost 47.8
Boost stolen / game 428.6
% time at 0 boost 9.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1427.0
% supersonic 7.4%
% time high in air 1.1%
Avg distance to ball 2877.8
% time attacking third 19.6%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 29.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Prospect32 0.440.251.06 258
S24Prospect22 0.860.51.04 283
S25Contender55 0.930.261.34 269
S26Contender20 0.850.21.3 306

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.85 0.83 0.73 – 0.94
Assists/game0.2 0.33 0.26 – 0.38
Saves/game1.3 1.26 1.2 – 1.38
Shots/game2.8 2.63 2.47 – 2.74

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
ShiftDrink S24Challenger 0.830.141.33 0.76
EarthArc2157 S13Elite 0.670.251.42 1.13
Pure_Pusher S23Challenger 1.080.261.25 1.17
IVIGhost S21Rival 0.740.31.39 1.20
RedWingLegendAYG S20Prospect 0.630.231.2 1.21
Vortex3524 S24Rival 0.80.291.18 1.22
fender_bender2 S24Challenger 0.890.391.22 1.26
ShazamPoof S22Rival 0.910.361.18 1.27
TyTy S21Master 0.940.251.19 1.28
VickyViksta S24Challenger 1.00.391.46 1.28

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.