Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 365.7 | 12068 |
|
| Goals | 0.85 | 28 |
|
| Assists | 0.61 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 1.33 | 44 |
|
| Shots | 2.21 | 73 |
|
| Demos | 1.73 | 57 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 365.7 | #300 / 1215 | #38 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.85 | #322 / 1215 | #47 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.61 | #338 / 1215 | #44 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.33 | #430 / 1215 | #46 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.73 | #83 / 1215 | #7 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (33 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (168 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12068 | 20113 | 19963 | 19963 | 19822 – 20104 |
| Goals | 28 | 47 | 46 | 48 | 39 – 53 |
| Assists | 20 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 27 – 39 |
| Saves | 44 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 64 – 81 |
| Shots | 73 | 122 | 122 | 124 | 111 – 134 |
| Demos | 57 | 95 | 92 | 92 | 82 – 101 |
| MVPs | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 420.7 |
| Avg boost | 51.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 586.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1544.5 |
| % supersonic | 14.4% |
| % time high in air | 5.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2875.1 |
| % time attacking third | 21.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 37.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Contender | 14 | 0.57 | 0.5 | 0.79 | 323 |
| S22 | Contender | 46 | 1.17 | 0.54 | 1.46 | 353 |
| S23 | Prospect | 58 | 1.05 | 0.64 | 1.17 | 395 |
| S24 | Challenger | 25 | 1.12 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 415 |
| S25 | Challenger | 25 | 0.64 | 0.28 | 1.56 | 396 |
| S26 | Prospect | 29 | 0.86 | 0.66 | 1.38 | 421 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.86 | 0.8 | 0.75 – 0.85 |
| Assists/game | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.6 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.25 – 1.41 |
| Shots/game | 2.35 | 2.54 | 2.38 – 2.65 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IKlutch all in TTV (Live) | S23 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.69 | 1.41 | 0.95 |
| Super | S24 | Master | 0.8 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Nightfang | S22 | Premier | 0.84 | 0.74 | 1.24 | 1.01 |
| George Floyd's Inhaler | S24 | Veteran | 0.72 | 0.67 | 1.28 | 1.01 |
| BaronTac0 | S23 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.69 | 1.23 | 1.01 |
| Lucas | S24 | Veteran | 0.73 | 0.72 | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| Leonis | S20 | Premier | 0.85 | 0.65 | 1.45 | 1.11 |
| wall2wall3 | S23 | Elite | 0.92 | 0.57 | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| HannandGrenade | S26 | Veteran | 0.72 | 0.67 | 1.28 | 1.15 |
| ashes.lost | S18 | Premier | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.38 | 1.16 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.