Whiffy_RL

Rival - FA - 4-6 (0.400)
44 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 44/100 Tier dominance: 4th (-1.8 SD) Projects as: Challenger ↓ Below tier level Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
10% of games
Shot %
23%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 274.1 2741
9th
Goals 0.3 3
7th
Assists 0.2 2
4th
Saves 1.8 18
93rd
Shots 1.3 13
2nd
Demos 0.5 5
8th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points274.1 #843 / 1215 #123 / 164
Goals0.3 #901 / 1215 #126 / 164
Assists0.2 #909 / 1215 #126 / 164
Saves1.8 #69 / 1215 #9 / 164
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #120 / 164

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (10 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (150 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2741 4934 5172 5172 5096 – 5248
Goals 3 5 7 8 4 – 10
Assists 2 4 5 5 2 – 7
Saves 18 32 31 30 25 – 36
Shots 13 23 28 28 22 – 34
Demos 5 9 11 12 7 – 15
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 4 /100

From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 327.9
Avg boost 51.1
Boost stolen / game 394.6
% time at 0 boost 9.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1438.7
% supersonic 8.1%
% time high in air 4.7%
Avg distance to ball 2965.1
% time attacking third 17.7%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 21.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Challenger12 0.750.751.42 352
S22Challenger24 0.830.461.04 362
S23Challenger45 0.690.511.49 365
S24Rival17 0.530.711.35 358
S25Rival52 0.960.60.85 346
S26Rival10 0.30.21.8 328

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.3 0.38 0.31 – 0.45
Assists/game0.2 0.27 0.25 – 0.36
Saves/game1.8 1.62 1.43 – 1.75
Shots/game1.3 1.62 1.38 – 1.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
M0USE_1 S23Prospect 0.30.31.7 1.17
BRG S21Prospect 0.360.271.82 1.25
Nova_ S17Elite 0.380.121.88 1.27
Razalgould S19Challenger 0.50.251.75 1.46
xLunarWolfx S24Challenger 0.380.31.42 1.48
Shraggaholic S18Contender 0.330.421.92 1.49
Lord Canadian S21Elite 0.350.351.47 1.55
ACDye2 S21Challenger 0.210.361.79 1.60
B1scuit_Murder S19Prospect 0.420.331.42 1.60
Visilgris S17Challenger 0.250.381.62 1.63

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.