Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 291.17 | 6697 |
|
| Goals | 0.43 | 10 |
|
| Assists | 0.43 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.48 | 34 |
|
| Shots | 1.65 | 38 |
|
| Demos | 0.48 | 11 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 291.17 | #797 / 1215 | #103 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.43 | #855 / 1215 | #118 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.43 | #676 / 1215 | #91 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.48 | #291 / 1215 | #30 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.48 | #840 / 1215 | #111 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (85 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6697 | 11065 | 11217 | 11217 | 11112 – 11322 |
| Goals | 10 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 13 – 22 |
| Assists | 10 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 21 |
| Saves | 34 | 56 | 55 | 56 | 48 – 62 |
| Shots | 38 | 63 | 66 | 67 | 57 – 74 |
| Demos | 11 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 15 – 25 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 292.2 |
| Avg boost | 51.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 343.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1365.9 |
| % supersonic | 7.9% |
| % time high in air | 2.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3252.7 |
| % time attacking third | 15.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 18.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Prospect | 50 | 0.92 | 0.48 | 1.58 | 319 |
| S25 | Prospect | 35 | 0.86 | 0.37 | 1.46 | 330 |
| S26 | Prospect | 23 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.48 | 292 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.4 – 0.5 |
| Assists/game | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.31 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.48 | 1.39 | 1.33 – 1.53 |
| Shots/game | 1.65 | 1.75 | 1.52 – 1.92 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djras1996 | S14 | Rival | 0.46 | 0.36 | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Schwiftyjv | S13 | Challenger | 0.42 | 0.25 | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| sky406 | S14 | Contender | 0.62 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 1.05 |
| Furian | S21 | Contender | 0.5 | 0.35 | 1.55 | 1.09 |
| Just Zainnox | S23 | Challenger | 0.52 | 0.56 | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| SlightlyOn | S14 | Rival | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.58 | 1.18 |
| ReformedMike | S24 | Prospect | 0.5 | 0.36 | 1.5 | 1.19 |
| MoonKnight2 | S21 | Amateur | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| beNgr33dy | S17 | Contender | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| ADeadM0053 | S21 | Master | 0.38 | 0.25 | 1.62 | 1.28 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.