Wildragon112

Prospect - Tic Tacs - 8-15 (0.348)
16 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 16/100 Tier dominance: 2nd (-1.9 SD) Projects as: Contender ↓ Below tier level Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
9% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 291.17 6697
23rd
Goals 0.43 10
11th
Assists 0.43 10
30th
Saves 1.48 34
77th
Shots 1.65 38
9th
Demos 0.48 11
17th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points291.17 #797 / 1215 #103 / 161
Goals0.43 #855 / 1215 #118 / 161
Assists0.43 #676 / 1215 #91 / 161
Saves1.48 #291 / 1215 #30 / 161
Demos0.48 #840 / 1215 #111 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (85 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6697 11065 11217 11217 11112 – 11322
Goals 10 17 18 19 13 – 22
Assists 10 17 17 17 13 – 21
Saves 34 56 55 56 48 – 62
Shots 38 63 66 67 57 – 74
Demos 11 18 20 19 15 – 25
MVPs 2 3 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 1 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 292.2
Avg boost 51.5
Boost stolen / game 343.2
% time at 0 boost 6.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1365.9
% supersonic 7.9%
% time high in air 2.4%
Avg distance to ball 3252.7
% time attacking third 15.4%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 18.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Prospect50 0.920.481.58 319
S25Prospect35 0.860.371.46 330
S26Prospect23 0.440.441.48 292

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.43 0.46 0.4 – 0.5
Assists/game0.43 0.36 0.31 – 0.5
Saves/game1.48 1.39 1.33 – 1.53
Shots/game1.65 1.75 1.52 – 1.92

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Djras1996 S14Rival 0.460.361.46 0.93
Schwiftyjv S13Challenger 0.420.251.33 1.04
sky406 S14Contender 0.620.51.62 1.05
Furian S21Contender 0.50.351.55 1.09
Just Zainnox S23Challenger 0.520.561.33 1.14
SlightlyOn S14Rival 0.50.51.58 1.18
ReformedMike S24Prospect 0.50.361.5 1.19
MoonKnight2 S21Amateur 0.50.61.5 1.25
beNgr33dy S17Contender 0.380.381.62 1.26
ADeadM0053 S21Master 0.380.251.62 1.28

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.