Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 326.34 | 9464 |
|
| Goals | 0.62 | 18 |
|
| Assists | 0.55 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 1.34 | 39 |
|
| Shots | 2.28 | 66 |
|
| Demos | 2.24 | 65 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 326.34 | #613 / 1215 | #93 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.62 | #676 / 1215 | #93 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.55 | #445 / 1215 | #65 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.34 | #425 / 1215 | #69 / 164 |
| Demos | 2.24 | #27 / 1215 | #4 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (29 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (83 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9464 | 16970 | 17044 | 17044 | 16902 – 17186 |
| Goals | 18 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 27 – 39 |
| Assists | 16 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 23 – 34 |
| Saves | 39 | 70 | 70 | 68 | 61 – 79 |
| Shots | 66 | 118 | 119 | 119 | 107 – 131 |
| Demos | 65 | 117 | 111 | 112 | 100 – 122 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 462.8 |
| Avg boost | 54.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 734.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1616.0 |
| % supersonic | 17.6% |
| % time high in air | 4.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3296.2 |
| % time attacking third | 22.4% |
| Demos / game | 2.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 30.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Veteran | 8 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 416 |
| S21 | Veteran | 12 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 431 |
| S22 | Rival | 8 | 1.12 | 0.38 | 1.12 | 446 |
| S23 | Rival | 12 | 0.67 | 0.92 | 0.83 | 437 |
| S24 | Veteran | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 388 |
| S25 | Rival | 43 | 0.81 | 0.49 | 1.19 | 428 |
| S26 | Rival | 25 | 0.64 | 0.6 | 1.16 | 463 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 1173 | 416-536 | 44% | 322 |
| RSC (official) | 14 | 5-9 | 36% | 350 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 30 | 11-16 | 41% | 344 |
| Non-RSC other | 1129 | 400-511 | 44% | 321 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.64 | 0.7 | 0.58 – 0.8 |
| Assists/game | 0.6 | 0.61 | 0.54 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.16 | 1.21 | 1.08 – 1.31 |
| Shots/game | 2.24 | 2.5 | 2.38 – 2.6 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The_Wheelman_95 | S24 | Veteran | 0.61 | 0.61 | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| JarrettD. | S26 | Master | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| WittingHalo64 | S21 | Veteran | 0.58 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.27 |
| BIGbadBULLMAN13 | S24 | Veteran | 0.42 | 0.66 | 1.08 | 1.28 |
| TheLegendaryChance | S23 | Elite | 0.86 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 1.44 |
| Monty. | S22 | Elite | 0.36 | 0.64 | 1.21 | 1.47 |
| Secretariat | S26 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.65 | 1.31 | 1.49 |
| cmonchan | S17 | Challenger | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.49 |
| junior1000gsxr | S23 | Challenger | 0.46 | 0.73 | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| Torro | S23 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.57 | 1.47 | 1.58 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.