Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 265.94 | 8244 |
|
| Goals | 0.55 | 17 |
|
| Assists | 0.71 | 22 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 31 |
|
| Shots | 1.58 | 49 |
|
| Demos | 1.03 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 265.94 | #869 / 1215 | #94 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.55 | #762 / 1215 | #85 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.71 | #178 / 1215 | #13 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #738 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.03 | #379 / 1215 | #27 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (31 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (175 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8244 | 12765 | 12943 | 12943 | 12838 – 13048 |
| Goals | 17 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 22 – 32 |
| Assists | 22 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 28 – 38 |
| Saves | 31 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 42 – 55 |
| Shots | 49 | 76 | 78 | 78 | 70 – 87 |
| Demos | 32 | 50 | 49 | 49 | 43 – 55 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 303.4 |
| Avg boost | 45.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 411.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1435.0 |
| % supersonic | 7.5% |
| % time high in air | 2.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3339.3 |
| % time attacking third | 22.4% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 39.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 15 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 319 |
| S21 | Contender | 30 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.93 | 320 |
| S22 | Contender | 36 | 0.81 | 0.61 | 0.78 | 291 |
| S23 | Prospect | 21 | 0.62 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 303 |
| S24 | Prospect | 24 | 0.25 | 0.46 | 0.62 | 332 |
| S25 | Contender | 49 | 0.88 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 301 |
| S26 | Contender | 27 | 0.63 | 0.74 | 0.93 | 303 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.63 | 0.62 | 0.56 – 0.7 |
| Assists/game | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.58 – 0.68 |
| Saves/game | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.83 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 1.59 | 1.92 | 1.71 – 2.08 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YERP_YERP02 | S23 | Prospect | 0.62 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Ole.Mr.Bison. | S23 | Challenger | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.98 | 1.06 |
| Spoilt | S14 | Veteran | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Merioch | S20 | Rival | 0.55 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.41 |
| Frehgrunce | S20 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.87 | 1.44 |
| Way2Luckee | S20 | Challenger | 0.87 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.46 |
| Alextross | S20 | Prospect | 0.86 | 0.65 | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| Emily26210 | S23 | Amateur | 0.7 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1.48 |
| SilverWolf | S14 | Challenger | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.49 |
| TechFour | S17 | Contender | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.49 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.