Zenzen0607

Prospect - Tomcats - 12-11 (0.522)
20 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 20/100 Tier dominance: 29th (-0.7 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
9% of games
Shot %
25%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 286.7 6594
20th
Goals 0.65 15
37th
Assists 0.43 10
30th
Saves 1.04 24
29th
Shots 2.61 60
62nd
Demos 1.26 29
82nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points286.7 #813 / 1215 #106 / 161
Goals0.65 #631 / 1215 #84 / 161
Assists0.43 #676 / 1215 #91 / 161
Saves1.04 #727 / 1215 #94 / 161
Demos1.26 #235 / 1215 #24 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 6594 10894 11064 10960 – 11169
Goals 15 25 25 20 – 30
Assists 10 17 17 13 – 21
Saves 24 40 40 34 – 47
Shots 60 99 98 89 – 108
Demos 29 48 47 40 – 53
MVPs 2 3 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 10 /100

From 19 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 301.1
Avg boost 56.1
Boost stolen / game 460.4
% time at 0 boost 6.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1442.1
% supersonic 8.2%
% time high in air 2.7%
Avg distance to ball 3337.8
% time attacking third 18.9%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 31.1%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.46 0.5 0.47 – 0.55
Assists/game0.36 0.38 0.36 – 0.45
Saves/game0.82 1.0 0.82 – 1.04
Shots/game1.91 1.83 1.67 – 1.96

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
xNerdyGamer S25Contender 0.40.41.02 0.75
Casca . S25Contender 0.560.420.82 0.75
Mr. MeOnDisplay S24Rival 0.460.361.04 0.84
ASAPxLEG S25Amateur 0.470.371.0 0.85
Shraggaholic S19Contender 0.550.461.0 1.06
WILLBONG S22Prospect 0.620.380.75 1.07
Cynical89 S24Prospect 0.550.450.94 1.11
courtesan S24Rival 0.620.231.0 1.14
ShiftDrink S23Challenger 0.580.311.04 1.15
D1REW00F S18Amateur 0.50.380.82 1.15

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.