bayylock

Rival - Tax Evaders - 16-16 (0.500)
55 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 55/100 Tier dominance: 77th (+0.7 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
16% of games
Shot %
38%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 359.81 11514
62nd
Goals 1.03 33
86th
Assists 0.69 22
79th
Saves 1.34 43
50th
Shots 2.72 87
68th
Demos 0.75 24
27th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points359.81 #349 / 1213 #50 / 164
Goals1.03 #134 / 1213 #18 / 164
Assists0.69 #207 / 1213 #28 / 164
Saves1.34 #416 / 1213 #64 / 164
Demos0.75 #620 / 1213 #94 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (95 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11514 20509 20427 20427 20273 – 20582
Goals 33 59 57 57 49 – 65
Assists 22 39 38 38 32 – 45
Saves 43 77 77 74 67 – 86
Shots 87 155 154 152 141 – 167
Demos 24 43 44 41 37 – 52
MVPs 5 9 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 66 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 405.0
Avg boost 47.4
Boost stolen / game 462.8
% time at 0 boost 13.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1535.0
% supersonic 15.5%
% time high in air 3.9%
Avg distance to ball 2941.4
% time attacking third 21.4%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 36.7%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival52 0.830.670.92 401
S25Veteran43 0.70.461.07 411
S26Rival32 1.030.691.34 405

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.03 1.0 0.92 – 1.08
Assists/game0.69 0.67 0.62 – 0.72
Saves/game1.34 1.36 1.33 – 1.42
Shots/game2.72 2.75 2.59 – 2.88

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
XT10 OAKY S21Rival 1.00.731.36 0.71
BIGbadBULLMAN13 S19Rival 1.120.621.5 0.72
PayloSoul S25Master 0.970.771.34 0.77
Vera S23Rival 0.950.721.42 0.86
BBlaazee. S25Challenger 0.920.721.14 0.91
Cognitixn S23Rival 1.130.711.36 0.95
Joe S21Elite 0.880.711.33 0.96
Donkmedaddy S18Rival 1.00.781.48 0.96
NotLuke9 S24Veteran 0.910.681.38 0.97
Cloudburst S23Elite 1.020.621.44 0.98

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.