Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 359.81 | 11514 |
|
| Goals | 1.03 | 33 |
|
| Assists | 0.69 | 22 |
|
| Saves | 1.34 | 43 |
|
| Shots | 2.72 | 87 |
|
| Demos | 0.75 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 359.81 | #349 / 1213 | #50 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.03 | #134 / 1213 | #18 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.69 | #207 / 1213 | #28 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.34 | #416 / 1213 | #64 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.75 | #620 / 1213 | #94 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (95 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11514 | 20509 | 20427 | 20427 | 20273 – 20582 |
| Goals | 33 | 59 | 57 | 57 | 49 – 65 |
| Assists | 22 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 32 – 45 |
| Saves | 43 | 77 | 77 | 74 | 67 – 86 |
| Shots | 87 | 155 | 154 | 152 | 141 – 167 |
| Demos | 24 | 43 | 44 | 41 | 37 – 52 |
| MVPs | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 12 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 405.0 |
| Avg boost | 47.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 462.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1535.0 |
| % supersonic | 15.5% |
| % time high in air | 3.9% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2941.4 |
| % time attacking third | 21.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 36.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Rival | 52 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 0.92 | 401 |
| S25 | Veteran | 43 | 0.7 | 0.46 | 1.07 | 411 |
| S26 | Rival | 32 | 1.03 | 0.69 | 1.34 | 405 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.03 | 1.0 | 0.92 – 1.08 |
| Assists/game | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.62 – 0.72 |
| Saves/game | 1.34 | 1.36 | 1.33 – 1.42 |
| Shots/game | 2.72 | 2.75 | 2.59 – 2.88 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XT10 OAKY | S21 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.73 | 1.36 | 0.71 |
| BIGbadBULLMAN13 | S19 | Rival | 1.12 | 0.62 | 1.5 | 0.72 |
| PayloSoul | S25 | Master | 0.97 | 0.77 | 1.34 | 0.77 |
| Vera | S23 | Rival | 0.95 | 0.72 | 1.42 | 0.86 |
| BBlaazee. | S25 | Challenger | 0.92 | 0.72 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Cognitixn | S23 | Rival | 1.13 | 0.71 | 1.36 | 0.95 |
| Joe | S21 | Elite | 0.88 | 0.71 | 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Donkmedaddy | S18 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.78 | 1.48 | 0.96 |
| NotLuke9 | S24 | Veteran | 0.91 | 0.68 | 1.38 | 0.97 |
| Cloudburst | S23 | Elite | 1.02 | 0.62 | 1.44 | 0.98 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.