Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 271.73 | 2989 |
|
| Goals | 0.36 | 4 |
|
| Assists | 0.82 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.09 | 12 |
|
| Shots | 1.27 | 14 |
|
| Demos | 0.45 | 5 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 271.73 | #850 / 1215 | #112 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.36 | #884 / 1215 | #121 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.82 | #78 / 1215 | #10 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.09 | #691 / 1215 | #85 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.45 | #852 / 1215 | #116 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (11 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (30 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 2989 | 4891 | 5065 | 5065 | 4996 – 5133 |
| Goals | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 10 |
| Assists | 9 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 – 17 |
| Saves | 12 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 – 24 |
| Shots | 14 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 21 – 31 |
| Demos | 5 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 6 – 13 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 368.5 |
| Avg boost | 46.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 388.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1454.9 |
| % supersonic | 11.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2931.1 |
| % time attacking third | 16.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 21.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Prospect | 30 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 1.2 | 404 |
| S26 | Prospect | 10 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 369 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.3 | 0.42 | 0.27 – 0.5 |
| Assists/game | 0.7 | 0.62 | 0.5 – 0.73 |
| Saves/game | 1.0 | 1.15 | 0.94 – 1.25 |
| Shots/game | 1.2 | 1.54 | 1.38 – 1.62 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan. | S25 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.62 | 1.34 |
| BRG | S22 | Contender | 0.53 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.35 |
| Dofri9976 | S14 | Contender | 0.09 | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.37 |
| jdoyle15 | S18 | Amateur | 0.27 | 0.73 | 1.09 | 1.42 |
| SykoShaggy | S13 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.43 |
| Arbartenn | S20 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| S3EZ | S20 | Challenger | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.06 | 1.48 |
| depressed vibez | S25 | Elite | 0.45 | 0.55 | 1.0 | 1.52 |
| Avacadros | S13 | Contender | 0.5 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 1.58 |
| SNOWIS | S22 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 1.70 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.