chawes.

Elite - Raptors - 6-20 (0.231)
77 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 77/100 Tier dominance: 31st (-0.5 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
12% of games
Shot %
19%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 326.65 8493
23rd
Goals 0.46 12
10th
Assists 0.42 11
19th
Saves 1.77 46
91st
Shots 2.46 64
36th
Demos 1.77 46
94th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points326.65 #611 / 1215 #99 / 179
Goals0.46 #837 / 1215 #116 / 179
Assists0.42 #702 / 1215 #104 / 179
Saves1.77 #79 / 1215 #11 / 179
Demos1.77 #74 / 1215 #8 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (26 → ~46 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (104 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8493 15026 15157 15157 15026 – 15289
Goals 12 21 23 24 17 – 28
Assists 11 19 20 21 15 – 25
Saves 46 81 80 79 70 – 89
Shots 64 113 114 116 102 – 125
Demos 46 81 78 79 69 – 87
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 52 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 441.6
Avg boost 46.2
Boost stolen / game 675.8
% time at 0 boost 12.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1499.5
% supersonic 13.2%
% time high in air 4.7%
Avg distance to ball 2824.0
% time attacking third 23.2%
Demos / game 1.8
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 21.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Elite43 0.980.650.95 380
S25Elite61 0.950.621.66 412
S26Elite23 0.480.441.83 442

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.48 0.57 0.48 – 0.67
Assists/game0.43 0.5 0.4 – 0.56
Saves/game1.83 1.64 1.56 – 1.75
Shots/game2.35 2.29 2.12 – 2.61

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
trock S26Veteran 0.620.521.9 1.49
Skrilpp S24Rival 0.60.41.6 1.49
Hirsch S24Master 0.570.61.8 1.58
ReL Corsa S26Elite 0.30.41.7 1.60
(Jay) S24Master 0.560.561.75 1.69
janixity. S22Veteran 0.70.51.54 1.70
Cuddlingus S21Prospect 0.40.51.9 1.71
97NOVA65 S25Challenger 0.60.41.5 1.73
Envy S18Elite 0.620.381.5 1.77
Phelpsy S23Elite 0.620.561.6 1.80

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.