Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 326.65 | 8493 |
|
| Goals | 0.46 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.42 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.77 | 46 |
|
| Shots | 2.46 | 64 |
|
| Demos | 1.77 | 46 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 326.65 | #611 / 1215 | #99 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.46 | #837 / 1215 | #116 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.42 | #702 / 1215 | #104 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.77 | #79 / 1215 | #11 / 179 |
| Demos | 1.77 | #74 / 1215 | #8 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (26 → ~46 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (104 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8493 | 15026 | 15157 | 15157 | 15026 – 15289 |
| Goals | 12 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 17 – 28 |
| Assists | 11 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 15 – 25 |
| Saves | 46 | 81 | 80 | 79 | 70 – 89 |
| Shots | 64 | 113 | 114 | 116 | 102 – 125 |
| Demos | 46 | 81 | 78 | 79 | 69 – 87 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 441.6 |
| Avg boost | 46.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 675.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1499.5 |
| % supersonic | 13.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2824.0 |
| % time attacking third | 23.2% |
| Demos / game | 1.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 21.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Elite | 43 | 0.98 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 380 |
| S25 | Elite | 61 | 0.95 | 0.62 | 1.66 | 412 |
| S26 | Elite | 23 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 1.83 | 442 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.48 | 0.57 | 0.48 – 0.67 |
| Assists/game | 0.43 | 0.5 | 0.4 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 1.83 | 1.64 | 1.56 – 1.75 |
| Shots/game | 2.35 | 2.29 | 2.12 – 2.61 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| trock | S26 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.52 | 1.9 | 1.49 |
| Skrilpp | S24 | Rival | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.49 |
| Hirsch | S24 | Master | 0.57 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.58 |
| ReL Corsa | S26 | Elite | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.60 |
| (Jay) | S24 | Master | 0.56 | 0.56 | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| janixity. | S22 | Veteran | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.54 | 1.70 |
| Cuddlingus | S21 | Prospect | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.71 |
| 97NOVA65 | S25 | Challenger | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| Envy | S18 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| Phelpsy | S23 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.56 | 1.6 | 1.80 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.