cherrypupp

Rival - Wind - 11-14 (0.440)
👤 Career - also played as NekomancerKoral, Minty-Fwesh
48 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 25 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 48/100 Tier dominance: 26th (-0.7 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
8% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 342.0 8550
45th
Goals 0.6 15
28th
Assists 0.56 14
54th
Saves 1.8 45
93rd
Shots 2.2 55
25th
Demos 0.56 14
14th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points342.0 #480 / 1215 #73 / 164
Goals0.6 #692 / 1215 #96 / 164
Assists0.56 #431 / 1215 #62 / 164
Saves1.8 #69 / 1215 #9 / 164
Demos0.56 #777 / 1215 #116 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (25 → ~44 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (130 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8550 15048 15044 15044 14915 – 15174
Goals 15 26 27 27 21 – 33
Assists 14 25 24 25 19 – 30
Saves 45 79 77 77 68 – 86
Shots 55 97 98 98 88 – 109
Demos 14 25 27 26 21 – 33
MVPs 2 4 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 41 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 384.5
Avg boost 48.5
Boost stolen / game 539.5
% time at 0 boost 12.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1521.9
% supersonic 11.6%
% time high in air 3.8%
Avg distance to ball 2915.5
% time attacking third 21.0%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 26.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Rival17 0.710.591.24 343
S21Rival21 0.480.671.81 363
S22Rival16 0.750.691.62 366
S23Rival33 0.850.481.27 385
S25Rival43 0.790.511.26 373
S26Rival21 0.620.621.9 385

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.62 0.67 0.58 – 0.75
Assists/game0.62 0.6 0.55 – 0.63
Saves/game1.91 1.75 1.64 – 1.82
Shots/game2.29 2.38 2.14 – 2.46

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Surge S26Veteran 0.750.591.72 1.01
Ghxst S24Master 0.660.641.89 1.05
TheodoreThe2 S17Challenger 0.750.621.75 1.10
S.y.n.x.n.z. S21Veteran 0.580.581.83 1.12
Terx S20Veteran 0.60.41.9 1.12
Billy_Man_Fi3h S17Rival 0.620.621.62 1.14
Nebulade S22Elite 0.560.51.75 1.14
DivineRL_ TTV S22Premier 0.580.561.75 1.14
Glitchfire; S13Veteran 0.620.51.62 1.14
dyl S25Challenger 0.810.651.74 1.16

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.