Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 342.0 | 8550 |
|
| Goals | 0.6 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.56 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 1.8 | 45 |
|
| Shots | 2.2 | 55 |
|
| Demos | 0.56 | 14 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 342.0 | #480 / 1215 | #73 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.6 | #692 / 1215 | #96 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.56 | #431 / 1215 | #62 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.8 | #69 / 1215 | #9 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.56 | #777 / 1215 | #116 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (25 → ~44 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (130 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8550 | 15048 | 15044 | 15044 | 14915 – 15174 |
| Goals | 15 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 21 – 33 |
| Assists | 14 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 19 – 30 |
| Saves | 45 | 79 | 77 | 77 | 68 – 86 |
| Shots | 55 | 97 | 98 | 98 | 88 – 109 |
| Demos | 14 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 21 – 33 |
| MVPs | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 384.5 |
| Avg boost | 48.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 539.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1521.9 |
| % supersonic | 11.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2915.5 |
| % time attacking third | 21.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 26.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 17 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 1.24 | 343 |
| S21 | Rival | 21 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 1.81 | 363 |
| S22 | Rival | 16 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 366 |
| S23 | Rival | 33 | 0.85 | 0.48 | 1.27 | 385 |
| S25 | Rival | 43 | 0.79 | 0.51 | 1.26 | 373 |
| S26 | Rival | 21 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.9 | 385 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.58 – 0.75 |
| Assists/game | 0.62 | 0.6 | 0.55 – 0.63 |
| Saves/game | 1.91 | 1.75 | 1.64 – 1.82 |
| Shots/game | 2.29 | 2.38 | 2.14 – 2.46 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surge | S26 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.59 | 1.72 | 1.01 |
| Ghxst | S24 | Master | 0.66 | 0.64 | 1.89 | 1.05 |
| TheodoreThe2 | S17 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.62 | 1.75 | 1.10 |
| S.y.n.x.n.z. | S21 | Veteran | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.83 | 1.12 |
| Terx | S20 | Veteran | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.12 |
| Billy_Man_Fi3h | S17 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Nebulade | S22 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| DivineRL_ TTV | S22 | Premier | 0.58 | 0.56 | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| Glitchfire; | S13 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| dyl | S25 | Challenger | 0.81 | 0.65 | 1.74 | 1.16 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.