daddybobgaming

Contender - Wobbegongs - 21-13 (0.618)
12 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 12/100 Tier dominance: 61st (+0.1 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
15% of games
Shot %
37%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 295.85 10059
33rd
Goals 0.71 24
50th
Assists 0.44 15
41st
Saves 1.12 38
45th
Shots 1.91 65
22nd
Demos 1.06 36
77th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points295.85 #775 / 1215 #74 / 134
Goals0.71 #547 / 1215 #55 / 134
Assists0.44 #660 / 1215 #65 / 134
Saves1.12 #665 / 1215 #60 / 134
Demos1.06 #361 / 1215 #26 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (34 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10059 15680 15757 15640 – 15874
Goals 24 37 37 32 – 43
Assists 15 23 24 19 – 28
Saves 38 59 59 52 – 66
Shots 65 101 103 93 – 112
Demos 36 56 55 48 – 62
MVPs 5 8 8 5 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 37 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 396.3
Avg boost 49.3
Boost stolen / game 535.6
% time at 0 boost 10.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1488.1
% supersonic 13.0%
% time high in air 1.6%
Avg distance to ball 3338.9
% time attacking third 19.9%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 33.8%

Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.