Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 353.81 | 9553 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 27 |
|
| Assists | 0.26 | 7 |
|
| Saves | 1.15 | 31 |
|
| Shots | 2.74 | 74 |
|
| Demos | 1.78 | 48 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 353.81 | #389 / 1215 | #48 / 166 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #132 / 1215 | #22 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.26 | #875 / 1215 | #122 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.15 | #634 / 1215 | #94 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.78 | #70 / 1215 | #8 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (60 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9553 | 15922 | 15870 | 15870 | 15745 – 15996 |
| Goals | 27 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 38 – 51 |
| Assists | 7 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 9 – 17 |
| Saves | 31 | 52 | 52 | 53 | 45 – 60 |
| Shots | 74 | 123 | 122 | 121 | 111 – 133 |
| Demos | 48 | 80 | 77 | 76 | 68 – 85 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 386.5 |
| Avg boost | 52.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 521.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1574.6 |
| % supersonic | 15.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2996.0 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 1.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 41.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 60 | 0.77 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 388 |
| S26 | Challenger | 23 | 1.04 | 0.26 | 1.17 | 386 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.04 | 0.98 | 0.89 – 1.06 |
| Assists/game | 0.26 | 0.38 | 0.33 – 0.43 |
| Saves/game | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1.1 – 1.35 |
| Shots/game | 2.74 | 2.58 | 2.47 – 2.86 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AveX InceptionZ | S23 | Challenger | 1.07 | 0.43 | 1.22 | 0.95 |
| MyTyranosaur | S26 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Array | S20 | Prospect | 0.88 | 0.38 | 1.1 | 1.41 |
| Mimetic | S23 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.37 | 1.18 | 1.43 |
| Slayerof666 | S24 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Froz3nSlack5r | S20 | Contender | 1.06 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Beni Lava | S13 | Prospect | 1.0 | 0.12 | 1.38 | 1.46 |
| christophr | S21 | Premier | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.47 |
| AveX InceptionZ | S20 | Prospect | 1.09 | 0.43 | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| branthedan | S23 | Challenger | 0.98 | 0.52 | 1.21 | 1.50 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.