dahc.

Challenger - Ryujin - 13-14 (0.481)
40 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 40/100 Tier dominance: 72nd (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
15% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 353.81 9553
64th
Goals 1.0 27
77th
Assists 0.26 7
8th
Saves 1.15 31
29th
Shots 2.74 74
70th
Demos 1.78 48
94th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points353.81 #389 / 1215 #48 / 166
Goals1.0 #132 / 1215 #22 / 166
Assists0.26 #875 / 1215 #122 / 166
Saves1.15 #634 / 1215 #94 / 166
Demos1.78 #70 / 1215 #8 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (60 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 9553 15922 15870 15870 15745 – 15996
Goals 27 45 44 44 38 – 51
Assists 7 12 13 14 9 – 17
Saves 31 52 52 53 45 – 60
Shots 74 123 122 121 111 – 133
Demos 48 80 77 76 68 – 85
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 92 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 386.5
Avg boost 52.6
Boost stolen / game 521.4
% time at 0 boost 9.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1574.6
% supersonic 15.2%
% time high in air 4.8%
Avg distance to ball 2996.0
% time attacking third 20.8%
Demos / game 1.8
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 41.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger60 0.770.61.4 388
S26Challenger23 1.040.261.17 386

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.04 0.98 0.89 – 1.06
Assists/game0.26 0.38 0.33 – 0.43
Saves/game1.17 1.19 1.1 – 1.35
Shots/game2.74 2.58 2.47 – 2.86

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
AveX InceptionZ S23Challenger 1.070.431.22 0.95
MyTyranosaur S26Veteran 1.00.331.5 1.38
Array S20Prospect 0.880.381.1 1.41
Mimetic S23Veteran 0.860.371.18 1.43
Slayerof666 S24Rival 1.00.380.92 1.43
Froz3nSlack5r S20Contender 1.060.381.38 1.44
Beni Lava S13Prospect 1.00.121.38 1.46
christophr S21Premier 1.00.40.9 1.47
AveX InceptionZ S20Prospect 1.090.431.07 1.47
branthedan S23Challenger 0.980.521.21 1.50

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.