Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 347.88 | 8697 |
|
| Goals | 0.76 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.68 | 17 |
|
| Saves | 1.28 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.64 | 66 |
|
| Demos | 0.36 | 9 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Veteran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 347.88 | #441 / 1215 | #75 / 170 |
| Goals | 0.76 | #451 / 1215 | #65 / 170 |
| Assists | 0.68 | #219 / 1215 | #36 / 170 |
| Saves | 1.28 | #491 / 1215 | #84 / 170 |
| Demos | 0.36 | #897 / 1215 | #130 / 170 |
56% of the season is played (25 → ~44 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (166 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8697 | 15307 | 15335 | 15335 | 15204 – 15466 |
| Goals | 19 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 27 – 40 |
| Assists | 17 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 24 – 35 |
| Saves | 32 | 56 | 57 | 56 | 49 – 65 |
| Shots | 66 | 116 | 116 | 114 | 105 – 127 |
| Demos | 9 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 14 – 24 |
| MVPs | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 403.9 |
| Avg boost | 47.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 483.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1516.7 |
| % supersonic | 11.5% |
| % time high in air | 5.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2765.5 |
| % time attacking third | 22.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.5 |
| Shooting % | 26.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Veteran | 20 | 1.05 | 0.3 | 1.55 | 387 |
| S22 | Veteran | 36 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 1.17 | 386 |
| S23 | Veteran | 50 | 0.86 | 0.6 | 0.88 | 398 |
| S24 | Elite | 31 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 1.58 | 368 |
| S25 | Elite | 29 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 1.0 | 374 |
| S26 | Veteran | 26 | 0.81 | 0.65 | 1.31 | 404 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.81 | 0.79 | 0.75 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.65 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.31 | 1.25 | 1.17 – 1.41 |
| Shots/game | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.68 – 2.89 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AirWiggle | S21 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.69 | 1.19 | 0.99 |
| depressed vibez | S22 | Veteran | 0.83 | 0.78 | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| RaunchyRomanian | S25 | Master | 0.85 | 0.65 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| itzmoose | S26 | Veteran | 0.73 | 0.63 | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| RaunchyRomanian | S23 | Elite | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1.16 | 1.13 |
| Ryan. | S19 | Veteran | 0.83 | 0.58 | 1.0 | 1.13 |
| NotLuke9 | S24 | Veteran | 0.91 | 0.68 | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Chase | S23 | Rival | 0.79 | 0.68 | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| trendy <3 | S24 | Veteran | 0.77 | 0.8 | 1.47 | 1.14 |
| P0pfgf | S23 | Veteran | 0.73 | 0.75 | 1.18 | 1.16 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.