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Prospect - Dark Matter - 15-17 (0.469)
23 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 23/100 Tier dominance: 45th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
6% of games
Shot %
22%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 304.59 9747
29th
Goals 0.56 18
23rd
Assists 0.59 19
62nd
Saves 0.84 27
11th
Shots 2.59 83
60th
Demos 1.38 44
87th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points304.59 #729 / 1215 #94 / 161
Goals0.56 #744 / 1215 #102 / 161
Assists0.59 #366 / 1215 #49 / 161
Saves0.84 #858 / 1215 #116 / 161
Demos1.38 #184 / 1215 #17 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 9747 16143 16253 16125 – 16380
Goals 18 30 31 25 – 36
Assists 19 31 31 26 – 37
Saves 27 45 46 39 – 53
Shots 83 137 137 125 – 148
Demos 44 73 71 63 – 79
MVPs 2 3 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 26 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 330.7
Avg boost 52.3
Boost stolen / game 526.4
% time at 0 boost 7.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1510.5
% supersonic 13.4%
% time high in air 4.5%
Avg distance to ball 2914.6
% time attacking third 23.8%
Demos / game 1.4
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 21.5%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~44 OVR Medium confidence — inferred from 89 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 23.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1598652-645 50% 356
RSC (official)52-3 40% 279
Non-RSC ranked 3v38938-28 58% 296
Non-RSC other1504612-614 50% 359

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.54 0.67 0.59 – 0.71
Assists/game0.64 0.62 0.57 – 0.68
Saves/game0.93 1.08 0.97 – 1.17
Shots/game2.54 2.42 2.27 – 2.74

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Celiscy S22Rival 0.610.651.22 1.11
OurStevie S24Rival 0.690.721.06 1.27
branielthedaniel S25Rival 0.640.711.17 1.29
Boog McCroog S20Master 0.70.70.95 1.32
Panick S22Veteran 0.780.641.0 1.32
GameGang S22Veteran 0.70.660.97 1.37
Tyyphoon454 S24Veteran 0.580.811.04 1.37
Bolbi S19Master 0.380.620.88 1.38
Minty Moonifer S26Master 0.590.750.97 1.38
T Sant S24Rival 0.650.521.18 1.42

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.