Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 359.94 | 6479 |
|
| Goals | 0.72 | 13 |
|
| Assists | 0.61 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.33 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 2.72 | 49 |
|
| Demos | 0.89 | 16 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 359.94 | #342 / 1215 | #47 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.72 | #521 / 1215 | #73 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.61 | #318 / 1215 | #43 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.33 | #430 / 1215 | #70 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.89 | #522 / 1215 | #79 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (115 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6479 | 11518 | 11437 | 11437 | 11326 – 11549 |
| Goals | 13 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 18 – 28 |
| Assists | 11 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 15 – 24 |
| Saves | 24 | 43 | 43 | 42 | 36 – 50 |
| Shots | 49 | 87 | 86 | 84 | 76 – 96 |
| Demos | 16 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 23 – 35 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 439.2 |
| Avg boost | 52.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 465.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1568.4 |
| % supersonic | 16.0% |
| % time high in air | 5.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2891.9 |
| % time attacking third | 18.1% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.6 |
| Shooting % | 24.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Rival | 63 | 0.7 | 0.43 | 1.54 | 405 |
| S25 | Rival | 52 | 0.65 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 422 |
| S26 | Rival | 14 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1.43 | 439 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.57 | 0.66 | 0.56 – 0.69 |
| Assists/game | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.5 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 1.43 | 1.47 | 1.37 – 1.53 |
| Shots/game | 2.29 | 2.25 | 2.13 – 2.32 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIGbadBULLMAN13 | S18 | Rival | 0.58 | 0.5 | 1.33 | 0.81 |
| Tall_28 | S25 | Rival | 0.56 | 0.53 | 1.34 | 0.82 |
| Virrexo | S17 | Veteran | 0.63 | 0.63 | 1.53 | 0.95 |
| christophr | S23 | Master | 0.54 | 0.44 | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| GreenLemon | S23 | Rival | 0.71 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| drubus | S20 | Rival | 0.55 | 0.6 | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Wafe | S23 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| Noriko | S19 | Premier | 0.78 | 0.44 | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| MikeSplifff | S19 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.62 | 1.15 |
| Havox | S25 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.53 | 1.34 | 1.16 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.