haileyset

Rival - Hippos - 8-10 (0.444)
51 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 18 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 51/100 Tier dominance: 44th (-0.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
17% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 359.94 6479
65th
Goals 0.72 13
46th
Assists 0.61 11
66th
Saves 1.33 24
45th
Shots 2.72 49
65th
Demos 0.89 16
40th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points359.94 #342 / 1215 #47 / 164
Goals0.72 #521 / 1215 #73 / 164
Assists0.61 #318 / 1215 #43 / 164
Saves1.33 #430 / 1215 #70 / 164
Demos0.89 #522 / 1215 #79 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (115 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6479 11518 11437 11437 11326 – 11549
Goals 13 23 23 23 18 – 28
Assists 11 20 19 20 15 – 24
Saves 24 43 43 42 36 – 50
Shots 49 87 86 84 76 – 96
Demos 16 28 29 26 23 – 35
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 36 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 439.2
Avg boost 52.0
Boost stolen / game 465.0
% time at 0 boost 10.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1568.4
% supersonic 16.0%
% time high in air 5.8%
Avg distance to ball 2891.9
% time attacking third 18.1%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.6
Shooting % 24.5%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival63 0.70.431.54 405
S25Rival52 0.650.830.96 422
S26Rival14 0.570.571.43 439

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.57 0.66 0.56 – 0.69
Assists/game0.57 0.58 0.5 – 0.62
Saves/game1.43 1.47 1.37 – 1.53
Shots/game2.29 2.25 2.13 – 2.32

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
BIGbadBULLMAN13 S18Rival 0.580.51.33 0.81
Tall_28 S25Rival 0.560.531.34 0.82
Virrexo S17Veteran 0.630.631.53 0.95
christophr S23Master 0.540.441.48 0.97
GreenLemon S23Rival 0.710.631.37 1.03
drubus S20Rival 0.550.61.45 1.08
Wafe S23Elite 0.50.51.29 1.14
Noriko S19Premier 0.780.441.44 1.15
MikeSplifff S19Veteran 0.620.621.62 1.15
Havox S25Veteran 0.690.531.34 1.16

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.