heyy_17

Challenger - Warbirds - 25-7 (0.781)
44 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 44/100 Tier dominance: 93rd (+1.6 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Striker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
12
38% of games
Shot %
45%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 409.41 13101
90th
Goals 1.16 37
93rd
Assists 0.59 19
62nd
Saves 1.62 52
86th
Shots 2.59 83
58th
Demos 1.12 36
71st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points409.41 #95 / 1215 #13 / 166
Goals1.16 #57 / 1215 #9 / 166
Assists0.59 #366 / 1215 #50 / 166
Saves1.62 #156 / 1215 #19 / 166
Demos1.12 #313 / 1215 #39 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (58 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 13101 21699 21412 21412 21268 – 21557
Goals 37 61 60 60 52 – 67
Assists 19 31 31 31 26 – 37
Saves 52 86 85 88 76 – 94
Shots 83 137 137 140 125 – 149
Demos 36 60 59 60 51 – 67
MVPs 12 20 19 19 15 – 23

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 87 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 389.7
Avg boost 52.8
Boost stolen / game 469.4
% time at 0 boost 7.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1481.1
% supersonic 13.0%
% time high in air 2.9%
Avg distance to ball 3147.0
% time attacking third 20.5%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 44.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger58 0.950.571.9 393
S26Challenger28 1.140.711.39 390

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.14 1.0 0.97 – 1.07
Assists/game0.71 0.72 0.66 – 0.75
Saves/game1.39 1.38 1.35 – 1.45
Shots/game2.64 2.72 2.58 – 2.82

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Rmuru- S23Challenger 1.030.71.35 0.76
akaBryan S14Elite 1.00.751.25 0.86
sean k. S23Master 1.120.751.4 0.95
slendda S22Challenger 1.250.791.29 0.99
Cognitixn S23Rival 1.130.711.36 1.06
Joxtrot S23Master 0.970.671.45 1.07
Ninji <3 S23Challenger 0.930.661.38 1.08
PayloSoul S25Master 0.970.771.34 1.09
D_e_r_k S25Challenger 1.00.721.43 1.11
Lonzo Ball S22Premier 0.980.661.45 1.12

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.