Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 409.41 | 13101 |
|
| Goals | 1.16 | 37 |
|
| Assists | 0.59 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.62 | 52 |
|
| Shots | 2.59 | 83 |
|
| Demos | 1.12 | 36 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 409.41 | #95 / 1215 | #13 / 166 |
| Goals | 1.16 | #57 / 1215 | #9 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.59 | #366 / 1215 | #50 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.62 | #156 / 1215 | #19 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.12 | #313 / 1215 | #39 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (58 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13101 | 21699 | 21412 | 21412 | 21268 – 21557 |
| Goals | 37 | 61 | 60 | 60 | 52 – 67 |
| Assists | 19 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 26 – 37 |
| Saves | 52 | 86 | 85 | 88 | 76 – 94 |
| Shots | 83 | 137 | 137 | 140 | 125 – 149 |
| Demos | 36 | 60 | 59 | 60 | 51 – 67 |
| MVPs | 12 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 15 – 23 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 389.7 |
| Avg boost | 52.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 469.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1481.1 |
| % supersonic | 13.0% |
| % time high in air | 2.9% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3147.0 |
| % time attacking third | 20.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 44.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 58 | 0.95 | 0.57 | 1.9 | 393 |
| S26 | Challenger | 28 | 1.14 | 0.71 | 1.39 | 390 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.14 | 1.0 | 0.97 – 1.07 |
| Assists/game | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.66 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.35 – 1.45 |
| Shots/game | 2.64 | 2.72 | 2.58 – 2.82 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rmuru- | S23 | Challenger | 1.03 | 0.7 | 1.35 | 0.76 |
| akaBryan | S14 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| sean k. | S23 | Master | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.4 | 0.95 |
| slendda | S22 | Challenger | 1.25 | 0.79 | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| Cognitixn | S23 | Rival | 1.13 | 0.71 | 1.36 | 1.06 |
| Joxtrot | S23 | Master | 0.97 | 0.67 | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| Ninji <3 | S23 | Challenger | 0.93 | 0.66 | 1.38 | 1.08 |
| PayloSoul | S25 | Master | 0.97 | 0.77 | 1.34 | 1.09 |
| D_e_r_k | S25 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.72 | 1.43 | 1.11 |
| Lonzo Ball | S22 | Premier | 0.98 | 0.66 | 1.45 | 1.12 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.