Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 366.23 | 4761 |
|
| Goals | 0.92 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 1.23 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 0.69 | 9 |
|
| Shots | 2.08 | 27 |
|
| Demos | 0.38 | 5 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 366.23 | #297 / 1215 | #37 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.92 | #230 / 1215 | #33 / 161 |
| Assists | 1.23 | #5 / 1215 | #3 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.69 | #910 / 1215 | #127 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.38 | #884 / 1215 | #123 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (13 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (46 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4761 | 8057 | 7935 | 7935 | 7849 – 8021 |
| Goals | 12 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 15 – 24 |
| Assists | 16 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 20 – 29 |
| Saves | 9 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 – 21 |
| Shots | 27 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 40 – 54 |
| Demos | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 – 14 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 3 |
From 13 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 375.8 |
| Avg boost | 55.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 441.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1524.6 |
| % supersonic | 11.4% |
| % time high in air | 4.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3051.3 |
| % time attacking third | 20.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.5 |
| Shooting % | 44.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Contender | 46 | 1.09 | 0.98 | 0.89 | 375 |
| S26 | Prospect | 13 | 0.92 | 1.23 | 0.69 | 376 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.92 | 0.88 | 0.8 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 1.23 | 1.0 | 0.93 – 1.1 |
| Saves/game | 0.69 | 0.88 | 0.7 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 2.08 | 2.5 | 2.33 – 2.56 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| z2kay | S17 | Rival | 0.88 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.76 |
| THOG | S19 | Challenger | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.81 |
| anth01 | S21 | Rival | 0.88 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.84 |
| AoS Arctic | S13 | Challenger | 1.0 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.89 |
| holytrstn | S25 | Contender | 1.09 | 0.98 | 0.89 | 1.89 |
| FattyMcChef04 | S21 | Amateur | 0.81 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 1.89 |
| Rmuru- | S21 | Challenger | 0.93 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.91 |
| NotKyto | S14 | Challenger | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.92 |
| Wafe | S13 | Elite | 0.88 | 1.0 | 0.62 | 1.94 |
| Schadenfreude-. | S20 | Elite | 0.88 | 1.0 | 0.62 | 1.95 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.