holytrstn

Prospect - Principales - 9-4 (0.692)
28 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 13 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 28/100 Tier dominance: 81st (+0.7 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
8% of games
Shot %
44%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 366.23 4761
72nd
Goals 0.92 12
75th
Assists 1.23 16
98th
Saves 0.69 9
5th
Shots 2.08 27
26th
Demos 0.38 5
8th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points366.23 #297 / 1215 #37 / 161
Goals0.92 #230 / 1215 #33 / 161
Assists1.23 #5 / 1215 #3 / 161
Saves0.69 #910 / 1215 #127 / 161
Demos0.38 #884 / 1215 #123 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (13 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (46 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4761 8057 7935 7935 7849 – 8021
Goals 12 20 20 21 15 – 24
Assists 16 27 25 26 20 – 29
Saves 9 15 17 16 13 – 21
Shots 27 46 47 48 40 – 54
Demos 5 8 10 10 7 – 14
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 80 /100

From 13 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 375.8
Avg boost 55.6
Boost stolen / game 441.0
% time at 0 boost 12.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1524.6
% supersonic 11.4%
% time high in air 4.1%
Avg distance to ball 3051.3
% time attacking third 20.6%
Demos / game 0.4
Demos taken / game 0.5
Shooting % 44.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Contender46 1.090.980.89 375
S26Prospect13 0.921.230.69 376

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.92 0.88 0.8 – 1.0
Assists/game1.23 1.0 0.93 – 1.1
Saves/game0.69 0.88 0.7 – 1.0
Shots/game2.08 2.5 2.33 – 2.56

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
z2kay S17Rival 0.881.01.0 1.76
THOG S19Challenger 0.81.10.7 1.81
anth01 S21Rival 0.881.00.88 1.84
AoS Arctic S13Challenger 1.01.381.0 1.89
holytrstn S25Contender 1.090.980.89 1.89
FattyMcChef04 S21Amateur 0.811.00.69 1.89
Rmuru- S21Challenger 0.931.01.14 1.91
NotKyto S14Challenger 0.751.251.0 1.92
Wafe S13Elite 0.881.00.62 1.94
Schadenfreude-. S20Elite 0.881.00.62 1.95

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.