Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 308.23 | 9555 |
|
| Goals | 0.65 | 20 |
|
| Assists | 0.48 | 15 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 31 |
|
| Shots | 2.35 | 73 |
|
| Demos | 0.94 | 29 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 308.23 | #710 / 1215 | #57 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.65 | #638 / 1215 | #66 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.48 | #586 / 1215 | #55 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #738 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.94 | #473 / 1215 | #38 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (31 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (46 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9555 | 14795 | 14826 | 14826 | 14714 – 14937 |
| Goals | 20 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 26 – 36 |
| Assists | 15 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 19 – 28 |
| Saves | 31 | 48 | 48 | 46 | 42 – 55 |
| Shots | 73 | 113 | 113 | 114 | 103 – 123 |
| Demos | 29 | 45 | 45 | 44 | 38 – 51 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 361.7 |
| Avg boost | 48.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 372.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 13.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1431.4 |
| % supersonic | 9.3% |
| % time high in air | 2.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3169.0 |
| % time attacking third | 18.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 26.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Contender | 46 | 0.94 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 335 |
| S26 | Contender | 27 | 0.63 | 0.44 | 1.04 | 362 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.62 – 0.72 |
| Assists/game | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.41 – 0.48 |
| Saves/game | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.0 – 1.17 |
| Shots/game | 2.26 | 2.22 | 2.05 – 2.39 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scomps | S25 | Challenger | 0.69 | 0.57 | 1.09 | 0.82 |
| seandfeeney | S25 | Contender | 0.68 | 0.41 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| Drebin. | S21 | Rival | 0.63 | 0.53 | 1.16 | 0.88 |
| D0pey killer | S24 | Amateur | 0.73 | 0.48 | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Xaerous | S14 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.38 | 1.0 | 0.92 |
| MeOnDisplay | S23 | Prospect | 0.64 | 0.44 | 1.27 | 0.94 |
| Itchyramrod420 | S17 | Amateur | 0.82 | 0.47 | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Cynical89 | S23 | Prospect | 0.63 | 0.44 | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| B0A._. | S23 | Prospect | 0.74 | 0.37 | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| Tazlien | S24 | Prospect | 0.67 | 0.27 | 1.0 | 1.04 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.