juan

Elite - Black-Holes - 22-8 (0.733)
86 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 86/100 Tier dominance: 96th (+1.8 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Striker / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
17% of games
Shot %
34%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 410.7 12321
91st
Goals 1.13 34
95th
Assists 0.7 21
71st
Saves 1.2 36
27th
Shots 3.37 101
94th
Demos 0.9 27
37th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points410.7 #92 / 1215 #12 / 179
Goals1.13 #67 / 1215 #7 / 179
Assists0.7 #188 / 1215 #34 / 179
Saves1.2 #573 / 1215 #94 / 179
Demos0.9 #516 / 1215 #80 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (30 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12321 21767 21495 21340 – 21651
Goals 34 60 58 50 – 66
Assists 21 37 37 30 – 43
Saves 36 64 65 56 – 73
Shots 101 178 175 161 – 188
Demos 27 48 48 41 – 56
MVPs 5 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 94 /100

From 18 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 484.0
Avg boost 48.5
Boost stolen / game 758.4
% time at 0 boost 14.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1628.0
% supersonic 20.8%
% time high in air 5.8%
Avg distance to ball 2873.7
% time attacking third 25.2%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 28.4%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~47 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1771 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 86.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)56412042-2390 46% 350
RSC (official)43-1 75% 502
Non-RSC ranked 3v31771653-689 49% 301
Non-RSC other38661386-1700 45% 373

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.11 1.07 1.02 – 1.16
Assists/game0.69 0.65 0.57 – 0.77
Saves/game1.31 1.32 1.25 – 1.45
Shots/game3.35 3.19 3.07 – 3.26

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
surreal S24Premier 1.020.811.25 1.10
Redfire0817 S21Veteran 1.150.651.15 1.22
mogii S22Premier 1.130.561.56 1.23
Gromit S22Premier 1.020.640.96 1.31
LikeWisse S24Premier 1.120.661.39 1.31
Chadley S26Master 1.040.751.36 1.34
Loyboy2 S21Master 0.970.81.54 1.34
nave S21Master 1.210.541.42 1.36
UF2 S14Veteran 1.060.691.25 1.39
WinterMajorChamp S24Elite 1.220.681.33 1.40

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.