Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 296.33 | 10668 |
|
| Goals | 0.53 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.53 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.31 | 47 |
|
| Shots | 2.22 | 80 |
|
| Demos | 2.17 | 78 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 296.33 | #772 / 1215 | #114 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.53 | #783 / 1215 | #109 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.53 | #488 / 1215 | #72 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.31 | #467 / 1215 | #75 / 164 |
| Demos | 2.17 | #28 / 1215 | #5 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (36 → ~64 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (121 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10668 | 18965 | 19194 | 19194 | 19042 – 19345 |
| Goals | 19 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 28 – 41 |
| Assists | 19 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 27 – 40 |
| Saves | 47 | 84 | 84 | 83 | 74 – 94 |
| Shots | 80 | 142 | 144 | 142 | 131 – 157 |
| Demos | 78 | 139 | 133 | 141 | 121 – 145 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 400.9 |
| Avg boost | 45.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 493.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 20.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1510.7 |
| % supersonic | 14.0% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3020.1 |
| % time attacking third | 19.3% |
| Demos / game | 2.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 17.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 10 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 398 |
| S22 | Challenger | 13 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 1.54 | 434 |
| S23 | Challenger | 22 | 0.46 | 0.73 | 1.14 | 449 |
| S24 | Rival | 18 | 0.5 | 0.28 | 1.0 | 408 |
| S25 | Rival | 58 | 0.66 | 0.45 | 1.19 | 425 |
| S26 | Rival | 32 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 1.34 | 401 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.47 | 0.6 | 0.54 – 0.66 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.38 – 0.55 |
| Saves/game | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.17 – 1.5 |
| Shots/game | 2.25 | 2.13 | 1.97 – 2.33 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| junior1000gsxr | S25 | Rival | 0.66 | 0.45 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| 97NOVA65 | S25 | Challenger | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| CarnageWolfBite | S20 | Rival | 0.53 | 0.33 | 1.4 | 1.37 |
| TheNio | S22 | Challenger | 0.79 | 0.5 | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| DoorTK | S21 | Master | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| rozi- | S25 | Master | 0.58 | 0.38 | 1.21 | 1.50 |
| LoonaKami | S24 | Elite | 0.66 | 0.45 | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| DoorTK | S22 | Master | 0.47 | 0.67 | 1.2 | 1.60 |
| OmniMurders | S24 | Veteran | 0.68 | 0.42 | 1.32 | 1.61 |
| Hirsch | S25 | Master | 0.59 | 0.46 | 1.5 | 1.61 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.