kyou

Challenger - Reef Gremlins - 13-12 (0.520)
👤 Career - also played as machi
41 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 25 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 41/100 Tier dominance: 79th (+0.8 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
20% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 354.6 8865
65th
Goals 0.72 18
44th
Assists 0.52 13
49th
Saves 1.36 34
59th
Shots 2.72 68
69th
Demos 1.48 37
86th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points354.6 #383 / 1215 #47 / 166
Goals0.72 #532 / 1215 #74 / 166
Assists0.52 #500 / 1215 #67 / 166
Saves1.36 #412 / 1215 #54 / 166
Demos1.48 #146 / 1215 #19 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (25 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (12 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8865 14893 14838 14838 14716 – 14960
Goals 18 30 30 32 25 – 36
Assists 13 22 22 21 17 – 27
Saves 34 57 57 58 49 – 64
Shots 68 114 113 112 103 – 124
Demos 37 62 60 60 52 – 68
MVPs 5 8 8 8 5 – 11

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 59 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 381.7
Avg boost 47.7
Boost stolen / game 618.0
% time at 0 boost 10.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1548.9
% supersonic 14.0%
% time high in air 4.8%
Avg distance to ball 2873.8
% time attacking third 26.9%
Demos / game 1.6
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 24.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival12 1.00.421.58 383
S26Challenger21 0.670.521.33 382

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~44 OVR High confidence — inferred from 569 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 41.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)62052378-2581 48% 372
RSC (official)3212-12 50% 342
Non-RSC ranked 3v3569208-227 48% 296
Non-RSC other56042158-2342 48% 380

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.67 0.7 0.64 – 0.83
Assists/game0.52 0.52 0.49 – 0.61
Saves/game1.33 1.27 1.16 – 1.37
Shots/game2.67 2.71 2.46 – 2.86

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
janixity. S23Veteran 0.740.491.27 0.97
rob S20Master 0.620.51.12 1.44
Destined Odst666 S23Rival 0.890.491.11 1.46
ChronoElevated S22Challenger 0.820.771.27 1.51
Redfire0817 S13Prospect 0.640.461.0 1.59
Tragic S24Elite 0.740.471.37 1.60
janixity. S22Veteran 0.70.51.54 1.65
Tyyphoon454 S21Veteran 0.880.51.12 1.74
Wontay S23Elite 0.550.61.1 1.75
HaZard S23Elite 0.670.571.25 1.75

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.